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Application Of Probability To Securities Trading System

Posted on:2003-11-28Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:Q F WangFull Text:PDF
GTID:2156360062486573Subject:Earth Exploration and Information Technology
Abstract/Summary:PDF Full Text Request
With the development of socialist market economy of our country, more and more people's investment concepts have been modified. People who knew little about stock, stock market and securities are taking delight in their knowledge of them. Stock market, stock and securities have become one indispensable part of people's daily life. While experience in investment of stock market plays a part, scientific analysis is of great significance. This paper clearly points out that it is not blind gambling but probability-based analysis that a successful investor should rely on, and therefore besides few success in gambling, it is sensible to apply the scientific results to the guidance of the investment. Major points of the paper are as follows:1.PrefaceAn analysis was made on the present securities trading system, and then shortcomings were found, hence the necessity of the paper.2.Two fundamental approaches of security investment analysis(1) Analysis of basic aspectsWith illustrated the national macroscopical economic analysis, the prospects of a given corporation and its location in the given economic zone, and its financial situation, the value of the analysis of basic aspects is emphasized.(2) Technological analysisTechnological analysis is a pure analytic approach of market whose functions lie in its three hypothesis. K Line Theory, Trend Line Theory, Form Theory, Wave Theory and chief technical indicators are introduced in this part as well.(3) In practice, the combination of the two approaches is required to synthesize all factors so as to achieve the goal of getting the most income.3. Processes involved in the security trading systemAfter processes involved in the security trading system are expounded, the Probability K. Line Chart and two kinds of new analysis tools of picture of trend analysis are set forth.4.A survey of the combinatorial theory of investmentProbability is utilized to carry on simple analysis to investment combinations of two securities, security combination etc, and these researches give rise to a new branch of financial science?Financial Engineering.
Keywords/Search Tags:Security analysis, Trade system, Investment decision-making, Probability
PDF Full Text Request
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