The Research Of Private Enterprises Financing Prediction In Our Country

The article comes from a thesis, " the research of private enterprises financing prediction in Hubei province" ,whose number is 2002AA401C21.Not only as a new growth point, also private enterprises take on increasing influence on providing employment and the reform of state-owned enterprises.But there is great management risk in private enterprises because they are usually feeble in keeping themselves from risk. Superadded that there are some problems such as irrational financing structure and serious information asymmetry occur in private enterprises financing. All these bring on great risk in private enterprises' financing. Under the condition of market economy, the great private enterprises' risk is one of the important reasons what bring on private enterprises financing difficulty. On the other side, financing difficulty pricks up the private enterprises financing risk further more.Every enterprise faces financial risk during its production and management in the market economy. But today considerable Chinese enterprises don't realize the importance of financial risk' s management. During the development of the market economy, it's more possible for Chinese enterprises to meet bankruptcy in their operation. It's more and more important to find an efficient way to manage the financial risk.So to establish an effective enterprise financial early-warning system is very urgent, which can defend private enterprises' financing risk effectively. In view of financial managing and mathematical statistical theory, the author analyzes the cause of generating financing risk and constructs basal frame of financing risk management. Firstly, the conception of financing risk and present study situation of financial prediction is introduced. Secondly, the author depicts the feature and circumstance of financing risk. Third financing mechanism and financing structure were concluded, and the internal and external factors in the process of financing were analyzed thoroughly. Finally, discussed prediction management of private enterprisesfinancing risk and tries to find an efficient mechanism of financial risk's management. Effective supervised financing proportion model was set up according to the characters in enterprises.