Research And Evaluate On Main Waterway Net Planning Of Jiangsu Province In China

21th century will be a constructive modernition period for Jiangsu province. With the development of national economy and society, the Inside and exterior environment environment of inland waterway shipping in Jiangsu Province has changed much. The development of inland waterway shipping is facing a new chance and challenge.Basing on the inland waterway shipping research object, this paper analysis of present condition and developing tendency of social economy of Jiangsu Province, and inland waterway shipping development circumstance. By the SWOT analysis method, this paper study the role and function of the inland waterway shipping in the comprehensive transport systemIn this paper, the plain inland waterway network planning method has been studied. It is proposed that the fixed capacity investment and cargo discharge regression forecasting model and the optimal average information customer distribution model can be used to predict the cargo O-D distribution. The capacity limitation dynamic increment comprehensive network model can be applied to the prediction of the channel cargo transportation discharge and the turnover discharge in the main courses. The main courses network plan grade can be verified by the total cost method, and according to which the economic rationality of constructing different grade channels can be evaluated. Taking account for the multi-factor, multi-object characteristics of the inland waterway network distribution, the obscure connected deciding method of the inland waterway network distribution is proposed for the first time, with the application of Obscure Mathematics theory and Grey System theory. The mathematical and modeling characteristics of this deciding method not only enforce the scientific characteristic of the network decision but also stimulate the development of the inland waterwayl network decision. The obscure connected deciding method takes an overall account of the connection degree so that the deciding result is reasonable and reliable. This method has a clear concept and simple calculation. The result is scientifically reliable in the practical application.By the research method , this paper bring up the trunk inland waterway net layout project of the "two vertical and three horizontal" to assist with the some contact line and the trunk inland waterway programming standard, and bring up to for guaranteeing program the project smoothly some suggestions into practice.The research result can be used as the government department concerned to proceed the vocation management reference.