Research On Prosperity Analysis Of Electricity Market

The object of electricity marketing analysis is the market itself. It's important to analysis the prosperity of the market, and to find the connection between the market's development and structure. The analysis is helpful for the power company leader to understand the whole market and make strategic decision. The analysis is one of the important parts of the power company decision supporting. This thesis gives some methods of the market prosperity analysis which will be applied to all the industries and the whole market.Based on the market's average price, this thesis analysis's the structure of the market .Deriving energy fact, price fact and fluctuation fact from physical mechanism this thesis gives some standard analysis and its tables. This analysis method can find perfect market inflection mechanism and prosperity of the electricity market, and can give useful support to electricity marketing work. The analysis is supported by examples. There is correlation between the industry's energy change and the whole market's energy change. This relationship demonstrates the prosperity of some industries. This thesis gives liner correlation coefficient and nonlinear correlation exponent to describe the correlation between the industry's energy and the whole market's energy. Based on the correlation coefficient, the correlation exponent and energy percentage, this thesis gives the main industry coefficient which plays an important role to judge a main industry and analysis the prosperity of different industries.The energy in the electricity market is different from time to time. The fluctuation between energy and the average means the affection of environment facts. This thesis gives standard energy fluctuation curve which describe the fluctuation in one year. The fluctuation correlation method describes the fluctuation between two years. The abnormal month judgment will help to find the reason of bad fluctuation correlation and to judge the prosperity status of different industries.The energy in the electricity market differs between two periods. This change affects on the whole market during all the periods. This thesis gives customer contribution rate and whole contribution rate to describe the affection and gives some indexes to describe the relation of the two rates. Using the rates and indexes the thesis demonstrates the change of the prosperity from period to period.The prosperity analysis is very complex. This thesis gives four methods to analyze the electricity market basically. These methods use market structure, industry affection, energy fluctuation and contribution rate to complete the analysis. The analysis is useful to electricity marketing.