Analysis Of The Impact Factors Of The Welfare Demand And Supply And The Forecast Of The Disabled

Because of the specificity of the disabled in employment and social life, the social welfare of the disabled is very important within the social security system. If want to provide appropriate welfare service items for persons with disability, study the demand of the disabled and the supply of the society is meanful. This paper is based on the Major Statistics Of the Second China National Sample Survey on Disability analyzed the demand and supply of the welfare services for persons with disability.Thesis based on rate of the welfare demand of persons with disability analyzed the status quo and existing problems of the welfare services and assistance. Got the demand of the disabled isn't well met, the difference of urban and rural, regional, ages, types of handicapped is big and the supply structure is irrational. Using Multinomial Logistic Regression researched the factors that impact the welfare services and assistance demand of the disabled. The result is income, disability duration, family size, types of handicapped, level of handicapped, household register and other factors will affect the choice of handicapped. Using the public goods theory and analysis of the relevance studied the factors that impact the supply of the service. Found that the welfare as the quasi-public goods, social policy, the level of economic development and government finance will affect the supply of it. Meanwhile, thesis introduces in the method of disabled population and established the healthy life expectancy table. Under this method predicts the future size of the disabled population of Zhejiang Province and analyses the welfare of the demand and supply projects.Finally, based on the whole research, we attempt to bring forward policy proposals as follows. Improve the level of welfare, narrow the supply structure gap among regions and between of the urban and rural and hope fund through government, social and family. We hope resolve the existence problems of the supply of welfare services and assistance through joint efforts and achieve the goal of basic public services equalization.