Plausible Reasoning Pattern Of Detection

Investigative Reasoning in criminal investigation has always been an important and somewhat mysterious issue. For the detection of cases, whether an investigator can find a way toward breaking the case from a variety of miscellaneous and numerous clues heavily depends on whether he or she can apply investigative reasoning correctly and efficiently. At present, the research for the detection of reasoning, be it for criminal detection experts or logicians, are still at a relatively preliminary stage. This dissertation aims to study the theory of Plausible Reasoning and development so as to contribute to the detection of reasoning, the further development of the theory and to provide the practice of detection with some useful help.Application of the Theory of Plausible Reasoning practice to research and detection has a very important theoretical and practical significance. Currently almost all relevant studies on Plausible Reasoning are still limited within the field of mathematics, even scarcer are research works that combine it with the detection of the case. Therefore, this interdisciplinary study is not only of theoretical significance, but also of great significance for theatrical innovatation. For detection on the case in practice, the sensible reasoning of research will not only help us to detect a correct understanding of the process of thinking, reasoning, but also boost investigators'level of reasoning as an important theoretical guide.Simply put, fair and logical reasoning is a comprehensive approach to reasoning that factors in the knowledge and experience of everyday life. Its main difference from ordinary logical reasoning lies in its heavy reliance on the background knowledge, which is a "common sense" necessity. Of course, these background knowledge itself may not be absolutely correct. Therefore, the correct application of sensible reasoning requires us first to adhere to the attitude of"seeking truth from facts"in the process of reasoning. This attitude as reflected in practice in the process of application is the philosophy of pragmatism, "bold assumption, be careful to double-check."This dissertation consists of the following three parts:Part I: traditional approach to investigative reasoning. this part focuses on the current logic reasoning to offer an understanding on the contents of the detection. By pointing out the limitations and deficiencies in traditional investigative reasoning, the author come to the conclusion that it is necessary for us to further study and research Plausible ReasoningPart II: General theory on Plausible Reasoning. This part mainly summarizes tentatively the basic concepts and features of Plausible Reasoning, thus outlining Plausible Reasoning's sketchy profile. At the same time by comparing fair reasoning to formal logic, the author further clarifies its the exact meaning of Plausible Reasoning.Part III: Patterns for Plausible Reasoning in criminal investigation thinking. This part mainly summarizes and details the process of reasoning in criminal investigation thinking from and through the standpoint of Plausible Reasoning. Through the prospective of Plausible Reasoning, this part also endeavors to establish and construct a logical reasoning system that covers all basic investigative reasoning approaches by systemically consolidating all patterns for Plausible Reasoning in criminal investigation thinking.In light of this length and the limitations on the author's depth of knowledge, this dissertation's research on Plausible Reasoning is still somewhat limited in terms of its depth and width. For example, the author believe the following topics deserve our further study and research: the sensible definition and connotation of all the "human factors" in Plausible Reasoning, what roles do gut feeling, inspiration and other non-logical thinking play in Plausible Reasoning, and how can we truly grasp the fair and reasonable inference of the Plausible Reasoning in investigation, etc.