Plausible Reasoning In The Investigation

Plausible reasoning is proposed by the Hungarian-American mathematician GeorgePolya "mathematical guess" mode of thinking. This stems from the induction and analogyreasoning in-depth study of human access to knowledge, creative thinking, to break throughthe lack of traditional logic heavy linear deductive reasoning light contingent reasoning.Plausible reasoning model reveals the trajectory of the thinking of the scientists in theresearch, in line with the laws of logic of scientific discovery, reflects scientific thinking,creativity and inspiration. Plausible Reasoning premise extent-the amount of the differencebetween the support for the conclusions to the this detailed characterization reflects the ofthinking complexity of the process and discover the truth, more in line with the research andthinking characteristics.Plausible reasoning intricate investigation activities, related to the accumulation ofscientific knowledge, evaluation judgment and professional experience. Plausible reasoningconcluded that the contingent nature, testing and demonstration of the need to collectevidence, scientific identification, investigative experiments. Complex things, build Plausiblereasoning, analysis of the entire merits compared to identify similarities and differencesbetween a comprehensive grasp of the facts of the case, the formation of a suspect about acrime, the nature, purpose, process and means more complete the sensible reasoning system.This article aims to theoretical analysis of the facts and Plausible Reasoning, indicatingthe use of sensible reasoning for the significance of the facts of the case in the investigation,and the emphasis on the Reasoning in investigative activities. The article is divided into fiveparts:The first part of Plausible Reasoning theory. Mainly introduced Plausible Reasoninghistory traceable to Hansen’s discovery mode, from Peirce assumptions reasoning to LeeTempleton’s the best explanation of the reasoning, the last Polya sensible reasoning;summarize Plausible Reasoning logical basis; Reasoning in the main application, namely thefield of teaching.The second part is the fact that the relevant theory. The first is from a different angle offact the definition and classification of facts in a specific case: the facts of the case, theinvestigation facts and legal facts, relationship analysis based on the investigation of the facts and legal facts and legal facts of the facts of the case significance.The third part is the investigation of sensible reasoning. First Plausible reasoning fromthe nature of the case, a reasonable and reasoning limitations analysis Plausible Reasoning inthe feasibility and necessity of application in the investigation. Followed by analysis from thethree aspects of the proposed and demonstration of the investigation of the case, theexperience summarized and Plausible Reasoning Reasoning in investigative activities.Concluded by emphasizing the characteristics of Plausible Reasoning in conclusion, that theprobability and plausibility.The fourth part is sensible reasoning applies in specific cases. Joanna the case, forexample, about the contents of the first account of the case. Followed by a detailed descriptionof the process of police collect clues and specific analysis of the merits. Finally, build sensiblereasoning and argumentation.The fifth part of the Note Plausible Reasoning in the use of investigative activities. Thecredibility of the two aspects are described from the point of attention in the process ofbuilding Plausible Reassoning conclusiononing and Plausible rea.