Marriage Consequence Research Of Chinese Sex Ratio At Birth

Sex ratio at birth in China has presented three characteristics since the 1980's.Firstly, it was higher than the normal value; secondly, the trend continued a long time; thirdly, it is getting higher and higher. Deviated from normal value for such a long time, it would bring lots of consequences, for example the male marriage squeeze, the destruction of women's life right, rights to women's subsistence, rights to women's development,challenging the stabilization of families, threatening the harmony of our society. Of these consequences marriage squeeze caused most attention, therefore it has practical significance to research the marriage consequence of sex ratio at birth.Based on the former research, the author made a research on the relationship between sex ratio at birth and marriage squeeze, using the index of sex ratio at same age, the index of marriage sex ratio which has been improved , by the angle of the relationship among sex ratio at birth,the sex ratio at marriage age and the marriage sex ration, which made up the view insufficiency in this aspect.On one hand this article demonstrates the possible supplies and demands condition in marriage market of China currently and in the future, based on analyzing the changes of the cohort's sex structure the sex ratio at birth brings. On the other hand it gives an answer to the question that whether"the best women and the worst men"are hard to marriage, by analyzing distribution in city and countryside,distribution among different education levels of the elder unmarried men and women.Findings of this research:Current marriage market of China: In 2005, it is in the condition of"male squeeze", but the degree is lower than in 1990 and in 2000. Although at every age, it is in the condition of"male squeeze", but"male squeeze"was not equal to the"male marriage squeeze". The fist marriage market in 1990 was in the balance, while it entered the marriage squeeze condition of low degree in 2000 and in 2005. In addition, marriage squeeze between men and women at the same age is not supplementary which is much different from the connection that more men correspond with fewer women which is reflected by index of sex ratio at the same age. Because there are marriage age gap between men and women, men and women at the same age have different marriage selection spaces, therefore it possibly appears men and women of the same age who are both in the marriage squeeze condition.Future marriage market of China: The unbalanced sex ratio peak of the fist marriage market will come forth in 2034, which has direct correlation with sex ratio at birth, but the unbalanced marriage sex ratio peak of the fist marriage market will appear in 2025. If the goal of controlling sex ratio at birth in national population developmental strategy can be realized, our country will be in the condition of moderate degree marriage squeeze for 24 years, but in the next 50 years there will not appear heavy degree marriage squeeze.The marriage squeeze condition of unmarried people in China: The male marriage squeeze was doubtless in the unmarried people of 30 to 50 years old in 2005. Seventy percent of these unmarried men distributed in the village, but over seventy percent of these unmarried women distributed in the city. Over ninety percent of these men were below the high school education level, while eighty percent of unmarried women were below the high school education level. Seen from marriage sex ratio,"the best women"has the enough marriage objects to be select, so they were not the real marriage squeeze people, but the"the worst men"were the real marriage squeeze people.