The Study Of Foreign Trade Development's Sustainable Capability Of China

From the Reform and Opening-up to now, the foreign trade development of China has made outstanding achievements. Moreover, the entry of WTO (World Trade Organization) indicates that the foreign trade development of China has turned into a more important historic stage. From the strategic aspect, the sustainable capability of the foreign trade development of China, relates to the final foundation of socialism market economic system, and also relates to the harmonious development between foreign trade, national economy, resource and environment. However, if there isn't a reasonable evaluation system, the evaluation of foreign trade's sustainable capability will lose its seriousness and scientific meaning. Therefore, the establishment of a scientific and exercisable evaluation indices system of foreign trade's sustainable capability development of China has a strong practical sense.The paper does study of Foreign Trade Development's Sustainable Capability of China from qualitative and quantitative aspects. Firstly the paper makes qualitative research from four factors and this part mainly compares between China and other countries that is called a transverse comparison. Then the paper starts with the definition of the concept of foreign trade development's sustainable capability, and establishes a set of evaluation indices, which includes six objects. Then the paper defines the formula of every specific index and the appliance of entropy method in the evaluation indices system of foreign trade development's sustainable capability.The paper consists six parts:Part 1 The paper puts forward the purpose, significance and method of the thesis through analyzing and summing up the references, then advances its thought, method and frame.Part 2 By listing abundant data and vivid figures the paper does a detailed research in the current status of the foreign trade development of China.Part 3 By defining the concept of foreign trade development's sustainable capability, the paper points out the six main composing parts that should be contained. On basis of previous analysis, the paper specifies every object and establishes the evaluation indices system of foreign trade development's sustainable capability which includes 18 specific indices.Part 4 The paper defines the appliance of the entropy method.Part 5 Based on the previous part, the paper does a demonstration research by using the established sustainable indices system and estimating method. Then the paper educes two main conclusions, one of wh ch is that the foreign trade development's sustainable capability of China is getting better from 1993 to 2003 and the other one is that there exists "Immiserizing Growth" inforeign trade of China. The ending of this part analyzes reasons of the conclusions and give some suggestions.Part 6 The paper draws some primary conclusions in this part.