The Analysis And Forecast Of Ningmei Coal Development System Based On System Dynamic

Ningxia Coal Group is the core of Ningxia Coal Industry, its growth rate and production capacity is very important to Ningxia Coal Industry Development, Ningdong heavy chemical industry area and economic development. So the research of Ningxia Coal Group development capabilities has very important significance. Based on the archetype analysis of the factors of Ningxia Coal Group coal development system, the paper selects system dynamic as the study method on it and establish Powersin system dynamic emulate model. Then the paper forecast the production capacity of Ningxia Coal Group in next 15 years. Finally combination the analysis of Ningxia coal demand capacity, explore the ideas of Ningxia Coal Group coal development in the future.