| Different scholars explain economic phenomena;analyze their own viewsfrom different angles, so that there are a number of similar, or contrary theory witheach other that laid the theoretical foundation regional economics. Regionaleconomic theory has many elements that make their views on the economic growthfrom their respective perspectives. So we do not know what kind of policy optionsto suit the actual situation of Chinese economic development. Generally, findingand nurturing economic growth as economic development focus, but in the choiceof the current economic growth of research there are still some problems:Economic growth selected is more focused on industries and research space options;Mix up leading industries and new growth points with growth potential, and so on.The starting point of Perroux earliest original growth pole concept is abstracteconomic space rather than ordinary geographic space. We now believe thateconomic growth is stimulus in the economies essentially, its own field ofdevelopment can produce proliferation and radiation, thus driving the wholeeconomy growth, and ultimately in the economic role of spontaneous grounds,adjust the structure of economies so that the country get balanced growth in thenew economic aggregate level. Economies unbalanced growth theory aiming atdeveloping country consider that economic development history is an unevendevelopment process, a balance has the factor of chanciness, the development is aseries of chain imbalances and through a sector-led growth drive the growth inother sectors. Since the beginning of reform and opening up, China's economicdevelopment has made impressive achievements, but we must continue to maintainrapid and stable growth, economic restructuring and change in the pattern ofeconomic growth has become unavoidable. It is from this urgent and realistic needs,the domestic economists made localization "economic growth" theory from theWest "development very-growth" theory. Despite the economic growth is a "point"concept, the purpose of our study is to achieve growth in the economy as a wholeand therefore we must study the formation mechanisms of growth point from theperspective of the overall economy. On the distinction between economic growthpoint and leading industries, some scholars have put forth a point of economicgrowth is the country's overall economic support and the so-called economicgrowth is the support in an economic system beyond the general (average) levelswith great potential and realistic growth rates , and playing a pivotal role in theoverall economic growth. We believe that to choose the economic growth point, weneed to study the stages of development, with the objective laws of evolution stage,recur the evolution of economic growth stage.We make a new solution to regional economic growth assessment usingintegrated current economic growth point theory, that is establishing an effectivepractical applications to regional economic growth assessment and predictionmodels using self-organization data mining methods so as to play a very good rolein promoting economic construction in China. Economic growth point within theregion as a core element of economic growth generally is focused on solving theproblem, this article want to establish an objective, automatic models structure toselect economic growth points.We believe that the use of complexity science theory and methods foreconomic research is necessary and possible. Since the self-organization is using anew approach to analyzing important economic issues. Data mining method "is theprocess of extracting information and knowledge which is implicit in the data, notknown in advance and potentially useful from the large, incomplete, noise andambiguous, random data". Meanwhile experts' judgment from their experience arevery valuable, which include profound understanding of the structure and dynamicsof the system, but such judgments are often qualitative. Because of the complexityof socio-economic systems, there are often different views. Since self-organizationdata mining method provide ideas for the solution to such problems.In addition to its basic principles algorithm, the key is optimum structure ofthe model. When the data is accurate, selected models by inside-criteria andoutside-criteria are the same. Inside-criteria need guidelines on the sample data ofthe statistical of information, increased choice subjective, they can only choose aphysical model, and for short-term forecasts. Based on the analysis of economicand financial situation, we will establish self-organization evaluation model of Jilineconomic growth point using self-organization method so that we try to makeforecasts of Jilin Province's future economic growth points on the basis of theanalysis to Jilin economic growth point. The GMDH model's fit model error andforecast error is relatively small, so the result is satisfactory from the modelingperspective. That inadequate funding has plagued the four industries developmentin Jilin province. Zone economic potential has not been fully developed, blindconstruction zone also brought many problems. The urbanization is theperformance of economic gradient development. Beyond urbanization, there areindustry upgrading, restructuring, and the transfer of industries, such as the spreadof technology. We will integrate the sustainable development capacity of Jilinprovince in the current status to analyze the option of Jilin Province's economicgrowth point. Stimulating economic growth mainly by the current investmentsituation in the Jilin Province's economic development process of industrialization,substantial investments certain period time to achieve economic take-off isinevitable momentum. So there are currently Jilin stimulating investment is in linewith economic development law, according to the regional development in Jilinprovince, we select Jilin economic growth points by comprehensive analysis ofJilin resources and the capacity for sustainable development capacity, Jilinprovince's economic development policies of the government planning model. |
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