Research On Algorithm And Case Analysis Of Duplicate Football Lottery Investment Strategy

Since October 22,2001 the first football lottery was issued in China, It not only shorten the distance between the fans and football, so that the fans could go into the game, but also provide a new investment channel for all the people who love football. As the development during the ten years, the sale of the football lottery has increased steadily, but the rate of prize winning is not as optimistic as we expect. The football lottery is different from the usual zahlenlotterie, as it can be predicted to some extent, so it is practicable to research on football lottery investment strategy. This paper will make duplicate football lottery as the object of study, and discuss the feasibility of football lottery as a new investment by mathematics, as long as we can improve the forecast accuracy of results, we can find a way to make it possible to use smaller substantial investment to win the prize.In this paper, we firstly give a brief introduce of the punters and the issue and rules of China's football lottery, then propose the feasibility of the research on football lottery investment strategy. And then three static analysis methods: Elo prediction method, the latest six match results prediction method and scoring rate prediction method have been introduced briefly. Secondly, based on the concept of correlation analysis in Statistics, the relation between the scoring rate and the power of the football team has been found. After the introduce of the operating principles, it is easy to find that this mehod has ignore the impacts of many unpredictable factors in the football game. Thirdly, through the analysis of the investment strategy based on online algorithm, it can be deduced that the competitive ratio and the risk of the investment can be sharply by using the method.Last, considering the advantages and disadvantages of these two investment strategy, we believe only do we combine the two methods together that we can achieve the desired results. Then we take an example to verify the operability of this theory in the actual prediction and the effect has been proved well, so it can be used by the friends who want to buy lottery.