Research On Regional Economic Development's Influence On Regional Logistics Demands

Regional logistics system is a subsystem of regional economic development's large-scale system. Regional logistics development in China is positive on its initial stage, many places have developed regional logistics industry as a pillar industry. At this point, deep analysis and discussion of major regional economic development factors for regional logistics demands has very important significance in practice. Jiangsu is a major economic province, with its economic output and GDP growth rate at the forefront of the country. It is of great theoretical and practical value to determine the regional economic development factors of regional logistics demands for Jiangsu Province, and to analyze these factors'impact on regional logistics demands. The main contents are as follows:(1) Based on regional logistics demand indicators and indicators of influencing factors of regional logistics demands, the paper analyzes relations between regional economic development and regional logistics demands qualitatively.(2) With the methods of ADF Test and Cointegration Test, the paper researches cointegration relationships between regional economic development indicators and regional logistics demands comprehensively. Then it makes the Granger Causality Test of regional economic development indicators and regional logistics demand indicators with cointegration relationship, and defines the types of causal relationships. The regional economic development indicators that promote the regional logistics demands in Jiangsu Province respectively are: regional GDP(GDP), GDP of primary industry (GDP1), GDP of secondary industry(GDP2), total fixed asset investment, total retail sales of consumer goods and income per capita.(3) With the method of Gray Relational Entropy Analysis, the paper researches the impact of the six regional economic development indicators that promote the regional logistics demands in Jiangsu. The impact in decreasing order is: total fixed asset investment, total retail sales of consumer goods, income per capita, GDP of primary industry(GDP1), GDP and GDP of secondary industry(GDP2).(4) According to the actual situation of Jiangsu Province, the paper analyzes the impact of fixed asset investment, total retail sales of consumer goods, income per capita, GDP of primary industry(GDP1), GDP and GDP of secondary industry(GDP2) on regional logistics demands in Jiangsu Province, from the point of regional economic development scale and industry structure respectively. In the end the paper puts forward the countermeasures and suggestions for Jiangsu Province's regional logistics industry development according to the characteristics of Jiangsu's regional logistics demands.