The Analysis And Solution Research On Uncertainty In The Supply Chain

With the embedding of economic globalization, the market competition unceasingly intensifies, and the business management begins to develop from "the longitudinal integration" to "the crosswise integration". That is under such background , the supply chain management is the brand-new management thought which was produce d behind the 1990s. The supply chain management is one kind of integrated management thought, with the beforehand information flows and the feedback information flow and the material flow, which connects the supplier, the manufacturer, retails business, the retail merchant until the end-user in an holistic management pattern. During the process of carrying out the supply chain management, the effective disposal of uncertainty in operation process is one of the key factors which decide if the supply chain management could carry out successfully or not. Therefore, which uncertainty factor the enterprise will face in the operation process and how to solve is an important research topic.As the supplier of logistics in the supply chain, transportation has the uncertainty inevitably, and the uncertainty of supply chain will bring influence to the transportation market too. For example, the bullwhip effect has causes the fluctuation and excess of transportation capacity in the container shipping market, which is adverse to the enterprise undoubtedly.This article begins with the analysis of structure characteristic of the supply chain, and respectively introduces the relations between the uncertainty and the fuzzy, the chaos, the stochastic, then analyses the origin of uncertainty with structurization method according to three aspects of the demand, the supply, and the made. Besides, it has introduced the simulation and modeling of uncertainty in the supply chain and analysis of the bullwhip effect in the shipping market. In this foundation it discusses the management and control method of uncertainty in the supply chain in detail, which concludes inventory management, the use of information technology and information-sharing, risk prediction and management, knowledge management, enterprise-based game, and agile supply chain. Finally, it analyses the classical cases on...