Research On Real Estate Price Indexes Of Harbin

As a fundamental and precursory industry, real estate promotes the development of other relative industries and macroeconomics. With the development of real-estate market, the risk of the real-estate industry has become a urgent problem. It has been a very important thing to give a well-marked consciousness of real estate price fluctuation under the help of scientific method. Rational real estate price indexes reflect the tendency of property's price fluctuation, and are regarded as obvious and important representations to measure the whole real estate. Researches on real estate price indexes overseas have been relatively perfect. However, In China, the standard of relevant researches is much lower. In Harbin, for example, there are not any computation methods of real estate price indexes until present.This paper firstly analyzes and studies the research level about real estate price indexes and frequent designing methods domestic and abroad, discusses the theory of real estate price indexes, expatiates the concept, defines and model of price indexes and computing methods. Secondly, by analyzing the status in quo of real estate market in Harbin, summing up statistics of Harbin, we select the appropriate designing methods and models of real estate price indexes for Harbin, and then present an estate price index of real estate market in Harbin. So we use the samples of housing which have been exchanged and it is verified that the validity of the model is satisfied.Lastly, Based on the models and the status of Harbin from January 2004 to December 2005, we workout the Harbin-real-estate-price indexes and publish the report of real estate price indexes. Accordingly, used SPSS, the time-series analysis were instauration by model of ARIMA, which provide an efficient approach for us to comprehend and forecast the market movements...