Research On The Early-Warming Mechanism Of Our Furniture Anti-dumping

The number of furniture anti-dumping petitions initiate by overseas countries against our furniture has always increased quickly, China has particularly concerned with the anti-dumping problem existing in the trading between overseas and China. This paper analyzes the main reasons that the number of our anti-dumping petitions against China's furniture initiated by overseas countries dramatically in recent years. We divide the causes why developing countries initiate anti-dumping petitions into economy causes, politics causes and mechanism of business management. On the basis of which, twenty-eight experts come from universities, government and enterprises participate the survey of anti-dumping from against China's furniture, provide a quantitative analysis for the problem, and we get the early-warning mechanism model. On the basis of the study above, referring to the early-warning mechanism model have constructed, we construct an early-warning mechanism model of anti-dumping from the United States against China's furniture, this model includes three mainly aspects:(1) According to the historical data, we pick up the guidelines that pass the test of significance through the correlative analysis,(2) We generate a statistical early-warning model, estimate the grade of early-warning and test its availability,(3) By the regressive analysis, we find the expressions of number of anti-dumping petitions, and test its accuracy.We input the data of the United States, who initiates the most anti-dumping petitions against China's furniture, and return fine outcome. It proves the efficiency of the early-warning mechanism model from developing countries against China. So the model is helpful when government and enterprises determine policies and take measures to defend themselves against the anti-dumping petitions initiate by overseas countries, control and reduce the number of anti-dumping, avoid and relieve the cost causes by anti-dumping survey.