The Study Of China's Early-warning Mechanism Of The Anti-dumpling Initiations

The fact that foreign countries frequently initiate the anti-dumping to China has big effect on our exports. To facilitate the export and effectively deal with the anti-dumping anitiations, it is imperative to establish the early-warning mechanism of the anti-dumping initiations. Our country's early-warning mechanism of anti-dumping initiations has taken an active role since it was established and put into operation. But it also has many problems. Take the systematic early-warning for example, the government, together with the trade association and firm, has not taken a highly effective role. Meanwhile, the three parts have not realized joint action. One trade anti-dumping mechanism of early warning cannot be easily spread to another. Moreover, there has not formed uniform early-warning network all round the country, and the information construction has lagged. To solve these problems, we should continually improve current early-warning mechanism of the anti-dumping initiations.The establishment of early-warning mechanism cannot be finished without study of the system of early-warning indicators and the models. Based on comprehensive analysis of various factors of the anti-dumping, this thesis classifies the indicators, according to main trade partners, export country and main competitors, and make an aggressive test of the relation of the indicators by use of Econometric model. The early-warning models are good complements and application of the indicators. The thesis explains the important role the early-warning models plays in the operation of the mechanism by use of the construction and application of volatility -coefficient model and diffusion-index modelThe improvement of early-warning mechanism connot be realized without deep analysis of current problems, based on which we can draw useful inspiration and reference from review of the international experiences, especially the Japan's. The inspiration and reference can be represented on the anti-dumping law system, information construction, and joint action by three parts.This thesis adopts the qualitative and quantitative research methods, reflected in the selection and test of the early-warning indicators. Moreover, this thesis comprehensively adops the case research method, embodied in the example as the successful international experience of the early-warning system of the anti-dumping initiations.The conclusion of the thesis is that we should solve the problems of current early-warning mechanism from three different perspectives-firm, trade associations and governments. For the firms, they should establish and improve modern enterprise system. They also should adjust their management strategies, enhance legal conciousness, cultivate law talents, and heighten the early-warning conciousness. For the trade associations, they should play good role in the information consultation, organization, coordination, communication, and cooperation closely with commercial associations. For the governments, they need to strengthen the service function, propagation and coordination in order that they can construct good environment. The main important management branch should also play a good role in the mechanism.