The Analysis And Forecasting Of Revenue And Expenditure Of Fundamental Pension Insurance Fund Of Urban In Xinjiang

The development of the 20th century the population of two phenomena: the decline in fertility and increase the average life expectancy has brought about the global scope of the new century, "the aging of the population." The population old age caused 172 country that had established and moved many years old-age insurance system to face a very universal and serious financial crisis. Thus, the old-age insurance payments increasingly become a problem in theory and practical common focus.This paper hopes to Xinjiang urban basic old-age pensions payments position and to study existing problems and the factors affecting its balance of payments on the basis of the analysis, the model through the establishment of pension payments, Xinjiang 2001-2050, the endowment the balance of payments at enterprises, institutions utilities and other personnel to predict analysis, found in the existing policy remains unchanged, in 2036 before the accumulated amount of pensions than 0, but there was a total fund shortfall, as of 2050 for 973.8 billion yuan, a big shortfall. Therefore, the existing policy should be reformed to pay rates, respectively, coverage, replacement rate, retirement age, collection rates and other factors to improve the regulation of Xinjiang's future pension payments position, its balance of payments relative balance. Thus towns to improve the basic old-age insurance Xinjiang payments made corresponding countermeasures and suggestions, hoping to develop pension policy of the government to provide reference.