The Inward Tourism Evolution Model Research Of Xinjiang And Countermeasures

In this paper, to the 15 states of Xinjiang and the Xinjiang overall inward tourism traffic to study, using data plot, to analyze inward tourism development and evolution model of the 15 states of Xinjiang and the Xinjiang overall , to sum up The development stage of Inward tourism of the 15 states and the Xinjiang overall, and to establish the more accurate forecasting model of inward tourism traffic of the 15 states of Xinjiang and the Xinjiang overall, to determine the future development of inward tourism policies of the 15 states and the Xinjiang overall.In theory, this paper quoted Tourism life-cycle theory, Tourism development strategy model, and they are used to analyze the evolution pattern and development countermeasures for the 15 states and the Xinjiang overall; In mathematical methods, it use the one-factor linear regression forecast, Gray System Prediction Theory and the exponential curve forecast and so on to study inward tourism traffic and to establish mathematical models predict.The Inward tourism of Xinjiang has undergone exploratory stage and participation in stage, and it is currently in development stage. Around the 15 states, in a stage of exploration are two Cities, in a stage of participation are three Cities, in the development stage are seven Cities, and in the consolidation stage are three Cities, of which 60 percent of the 15 states, the Inward tourism traffic average level of development is Higher than the average level of Xinjiang, 40 percent of it below the average level of Xinjiang.Research results of this paper make the tourism-related sectors of Xinjiang and the 15 states to understand the development level of local inward tourism status at a higher level , discuss inward tourism followed by the law when it is developing in Xinjiang and the 15 states , clear out the future inward tourism development goals of the Xinjiang Overall and the 15 states, point out the direction of their efforts and put fotward the development of more specific countermeasures. From a macro, taking grade development initiatives on the 15 states, from the micro-, establishing seven international tourism circles based on complementarities of the 15 states.