Research On Risk Warning Of Social Security Fund

At present, there are many risks in the China's social security fund such as the risk of system design, unreasonable system design, unreasonable design of the ratio of tax and so on; management risks, funds were diverted for other uses, embezzlement occurred from time to time, increase the value of risk and so on; Adverse changes in the structure of the population, a large number of workers retire early so that the cost of authoritarian fund gap growing, these risks become serious and threaten the security of social security fund. As a result, strengthen the social security fund risk early warning system to guard against and defuse the risk of social security funds and ensure the safety of social security funds and improve the social security fund management is of great practical significance.This paper focuses on the risks of the social security fund. Based on this background and previous studies, the four aspects such as risk of system design, management risk, operational risk, the risk of moral hazard is detailed analyzed. And then build a social security fund risk indicators for early warning, on the basis of trying to build a social security fund early warning system.The detailed analysis of the risks of social security fund is helpful to identify risk factors from a higher lever; the social security fund risk indicators for early warning system combines the quantitative indicators of risk and non-quantitative indicators and is of great significance. The application of Fuzzy evaluation methods and analytic hierarchy process for evaluate the risks scientifically, and forecast of the social security fund of the risks supply the theory.