The Modal Split Of High-speed Passenger Transport Corridor And The Counter-Measures Of Highway Passenger Transport

In the "11th Five-Year Plan" period,railway transport has a large growth potential. One of Railway development priorities is to set up a fast passenger transport network. We will develop passenger lines,inter-city passenger railways and reconstruct existing lines,in the aim to preliminarily develop a fast passenger transport network backboned with passenger lines and connecting all major cities of China.With the opening of HSPR line and inter-city passenger railways,there would be a wide variety of high-speed passenger transport modes for passenger to choose In a corridor.In the Section of the highly competitive,the original mode of passenger transport market share is bound to be diverted by high-speed railway.RP data were more reliable,while SP data were more flexible.In order to join the two types of data together to reduce the traffic survey work volume and improve the accuracy of the survey,and based on the analysis of the design of RP/SP survey scheme, the application disaggregate model theory and the survey data of Hada Passenger Line (Harbin-Dalian),a multinomial logit(ML) model for predicting the traffic mode choice was developed,and spssl3.0 was used to calibrate its parameters.After testifying the validity of the model by fitting of the model,the article takes the model to forecast the Distribution rate of passenger flow in Harbin-Dalian.Especially,some counter-measures are proposed for road passenger transport to response the competitive advantage of high-speed railway.