Real Estate Project "Lin Yin He Pan" In Xindu Distract Of Chengdu Risk Analysis Of Investment Decision-making

Affected by Subprime Mortgage Crisis, The global economy went into an unprecedented financial crisis. The real estate industry of China had a slide since the first half of 2007. Not only the trading volume of land, but also the completed residential areas and saleable area of the residential properties had a negative growth. Not like the circumstances that all the properties can be sold before, now the real estate market became a buyers' market. As the result, all the real estate development company must keep track of the current market movement from now on, so that to find another foothold in the market. Making a good investment decision of the project is the starting point to do that, which determines a real estate development company could survive in this current market circumstances or not.This paper analyses the actuality of China's real estate market, expatiates the significance, necessity and the urgency of the risk analysis in real estate investment decision making. Bases on the research of the related documentaries at home and abroad, this article analyses the present problems of the risk management in real estate investment decision making, so that making the research orientation more clear. Thought the research of the theory of real estate investment risk in decision making, this paper also introduces the procedure and methods of real estate risk management, clarifies the existed risk factors and their roots during the preconstruction phase of the exploitation of real estate, explores the building methods of the risk evaluating index system in my paper, and discusses the method of risk evaluation and the measure of risk response.Supported by the theory of real estate investment risk in decision making, this article chooses the Yonglin real estate Xindu project"Lin Yin He Pan"in Xindu distract of Chengdu as the research object. By analyzing the macroeconomic environment and real estate market of Chengdu, combined with the guidance of experts, I build the real estate investment risk evaluating index system, and make the investment decision making risk evaluation for Yonglin real estate Xindu project by analytical hierarchy process (AHP), so that to find out the main risks affected the implementation of the project, and then make the homologous measures for risk management, and finally choose the better investment project by break-even analysis.