A Study On Price Fluctuation And Solution Of Rapseed And Rapseed Oil

From our country unloose oil market, price of rapeseed and price of rapeseed oil is always undulating these years. causes influencing the price of rapeseed are yield,price of rapeseed oil,early price of rapeseed. because of our special correlation between supply and demand the price of soya bean have deep influence to the price of rapeseed .as to the supply of rapeseed, the price of rapeseed link to rapeseed production,imports,consumption of rapeseed oil and the price of rapeseed meal. rapeseed price is also influenced by the related commodities, such as price of soya bean oil,supply and demand of Bio-oil.The paper use description of analysis, quantitative analysis, static analysis and dynamic analysis.The quantitative analysis ways are cobweb model analysis, regression analysis, granger test, cointegration test ,unit root test. All the ways just are used to analyze the correlation of the prices. cobweb model mainly apply to analyze correlation between changes in the prices of rapeseed and changes in production. Regression analysis is used to test correlation between the prices of rapeseed and production costs. granger test , cointegration test ,Unit root test just be used to analyze the relation about Relevant factors.Price volatility of rapeseed will influence the yielding,take AnHui province and JiangShu province as example, price volatility of rapeseed lead to Acreage volatity because of comparative effectiveness between the rapeseed and wheat.Fluctuation of rapeseed price effect the growers, Processing enterprises and consumers. there is a special phenomenon in china oil market,because processing enterprises of foreign capital have deep influence to our soybean oil,rice of rapeseed, fluctuation of rapeseed will be effected by the processing enterprises. Accompanied by the proportion of palm oil and soybean oil consumption and increasing amount, the price of rapeseed will effect more by price of soya bean oil.We can solve the problem by improve the yield of rapeseed and rapeseed oil production .we have to implement the development of china's oil industry,to build vegetable oil price stability mechanism and rape security reserve system, to contol the rape into the project for safe supply of rapeseed.