Research On Development And Countermeasures Of The International Logistics In The Bonded Zone Of Tianjin

Recent years, along with the acceleration of economic globalization, the rapid development of international trade, as well as the entry of foreign multinationals and the unceasing expansion of domestic enterprises, the international logistics industry in china has created a great demand. Against this background, as the bridgehead which connects the domestic and international markets, Bonded Zone of our country should make full use of their advantages to develop international logistics to meet the world economy and trade needs of the logistics capabilities. In addition, the development of international logistics industry is conducive to promoting the further development of Bonded Zone and promoting regional economic development. Therefore, researching on the development status of Bonded Zone's international logistics, regional competitiveness and future logistics development needs, thus improving and perfecting the Bonded Zone international logistics development countermeasures, these are major driving force for Bonded Zone's development and transformation, and as a new growth pole to promote regional economic development, which is of great theoretical and practical significance.This paper around the development status and future logistics development needs of the international logistics in the Bonded Zone of Tianjin, thought using qualitative and quantitative analysis, and putting forward countermeasures to provide some reference for Tianjin Bonded Zone and other Bonded Zone, and provide a basis for government decision-making. The specific discourses start from the following aspects.Firstly, beginning with theoretical research, this paper has done a systematic exposition about the basic theories of Bonded Zone and international logistics. Then analyzed the interactive effect between Bonded Zone and international logistics from two aspects, that are Bonded Zone in the role of international logistics development and international logistics impact on the Bonded Zone.Secondly, the paper makes a depth analysis about the present condition of the international logistics in Tianjin Bonded Zone from the development overview, external operating environment and internal operation mode. On this basis, the paper adopted comprehensive analysis method which combine Grey Relational Analysis and Analytic Hierarchy Process to quantitative evaluate the regional competitiveness of Tianjin Bonded Zone's international logistics.Thirdly, after qualitative analysis the demand of Bonded Zone's international logistics, this paper establish a grey relational model to estimate the correlation on the main factors of Tianjin Bonded Zone's international logistics demand, and finally thinking cargo throughput which correlation is the largest as the factor to forecast Tianjin Bonded Zone's international logistics demand.Fourthly, this paper has done a comparative analysis among regression forecasting, triple exponential smoothing forecasting and grey forecasting methods. On this basis, introduced the entropy in thermodynamics to establish a combination forecasting model based on entropy, thus verified and predicted the demand for Tianjin Bonded Zone's international logistics.Finally, after status analysis, regional competitive evaluation and future logistics demand forecasting, this paper put forward some countermeasures and suggestions to promote the development of Tianjin Bonded Zone's international logistics.