A Antiaircraft Weapon Systems Hit Probability Analysis

This article is part of study on the warfare effectiveness of a self-propelled Anti-Airartillery weapon system. According to the impact kill characteristic of the system, theanalysis to theVarious-unit error and dispersion error of the self-propelled Anti-Air artillery weaponsystem has been unfolded, then constructed reference frame of warfare unit and object, onthe basis of this, the motion rule of shot and target has been researched, the motionfunction of shot and target has also been theorized, inverse design has been given priorityto, the kill model of system has been analyzed, and the calculating model of single fire hitprobability and running fire hit probability has been received. Which the "Closed CircuitProof Fire" theory effects to the system's hit probability has been researched.In this article, aimed at the main warfare mode, main warfare object of theself-propelled Anti-Air artillery, based on the calculating model of impact hit probability,"The Program of Analysis on a Weapon System's warfare effectiveness" has beenprogrammed, and the hit probability analysis of the system to classic target and classicfairway has been done. The study show that, the hit probability was improved with the firelength, but it improved less and less after the length was larger than 40; the hit probabilityof running fire twice is higher than running fire only one time; the hit probability wouldimproved obviously after "Closed Circuit Proof Fire" had been used.Contrasted a congener active service armament, the Anti-Air artillery both on thesingle fire hit probability and on the running fire hit probability were improved 1 or 2 times.The result of the self-propelled Anti-Air artillery hit probability was tally with theexperiment of fire to air of its demonstrating muster.