A Study On The Phenomenon Of Higher Education Cycle Fluctuation In China

Adult education is an important part of modern higher education system, China’s Adult Higher Education in the development of its half a century, with its less investment and quick, suitable for in-service training students to learn, flexible and diverse forms, etc.,have been become a higher education system with Chinese characteristics integral part. It is an effective way to achieve country running big education, do higher education, popularization of higher education goals, but also achieve the creation of a learning society, to build an important part of life-long education system.The reform and open policy has brought the extraordinary achievements of the Adult Education has made world attention, in the development process has evolved further education colleges set up by the colleges and universities, various levels of independent adult settings Higher huge system, modern distance education and self-examination of higher education consisting of the development of China’s higher education has become an effective strength, to build a modern society for our process of training a large number of useful talents.Academic research on the relationship between education and the economy began in the 1960s, the US economist Schultz and Becker founded the human capital theory, which researchers are on the relationship between education and economic issues will be a number of theories and wide-ranging, multi-angle study, followed by the development of the assumptions, such as screening, labor market segmentation, over-education research, these theories or based on qualitative research on the relationship between education and economic qualitative analysis, or based on quantitative research, attempting to different areas of education and economic issues in the correlation analysis.Regrettably, however, in such research results among adults about adult education, especially higher education for the study of economic development has remained mostly qualitative level, little quantitative analysis. Especially on specific economic data for analysis of adult education and even fewer. And as China’s higher education system of adult education an integral part, due to the special nature of its financial support, so that the tightness of Adult Higher Education and the relatively high market demand, especially in today Popularization of Higher Education Trend for the present situation of the development of adult higher education, it is necessary to analyze the emotional experience rather than just consideration, and thus the future of adult education as a whole as well as the development of adult higher education and provide scientific data to support the theory-based on specific data.In this paper, quantitative and qualitative research to take a combination of research methods, qualitative research, using the management tools of classical analysis SWOT analysis matrix, on Adult Education is currently in the external environment as well as the opportunities and challenges of internal environment the advantages and disadvantages are analyzed one by one order, and then to the overall environment of Adult Higher Education to draw SWOT matrix.In the quantitative analysis, the selection of indicators, the number of admissions to adult higher education enrollment, the number of adult college-based, specific data were derived from the "Chinese Educational Achievement (1949 to 1983)", "China Adult Higher Profile" "China Education statistical Yearbook," "educational Statistics Yearbook 2004", "Shaanxi Education Yearbook" and other statistical yearbooks, and based on this sort of data analysis. Economic cycle theory as the theoretical basis for adult education hierarchy, economic growth theory review and review, the number of admissions to adult higher education after the founding of New China in enrollment and the number of schools and their full-time statistics growth rate statistics, in accordance with the law of the change cycle is divided in order to fluctuation cycle of analysis and interpretation of the phenomenon of adult Higher Education. Finally, main conclusions of the study and analysis of the results of the use of the future development trend of Adult Higher Education were discussed.In 1950-2012, change the size of China’s adult education has experienced a number of expansion- contraction- expansion again- the process of re-adjustment and cyclical contraction, these measures are mainly cyclical movements Development of Adult Higher Education scale, and for judging the size of the adult higher education development, the paper uses three indicators, namely enrollment of adult higher education, students enrollment growth and the growth rate of these three evaluation Based on changes in the trend depicted changes in the development of Adult Higher Education to analyze, with the growth of adult higher education scale fluctuation coefficient and volatility, while taking into account the impact of Adult Higher Education in the development process by specific factors, from the description of the facts (description facts) perspective of cyclical fluctuations of Adult Higher Education to describe the impact and the development process and suffered the conduction problem and the major event characteristics were analyzed.A reflection on these questions, the paper is divided into five parts:The first part is an introduction. Brief research background and significance of the topic and other related content. The second part is a detailed explanation of the concepts and theories of the sort outlined. The third part use SWOT analysis of the current status of development and problems of adult higher qualitative analysis. The fourth part of the cycle fluctuation in China’s Adult Higher Education to quantify the analysis, the fifth part is the conclusion.