East Asian Integration Trend Of Regional Trade Of Agricultural Products Between China And The Effect Of Research

As the development of economy globalization in the world, the race of area economical globalization grows also rapidly. Since"Economy Integration in East Asian" was recommended, the entire world had been being paid great attention to it. But during the process, the agricultural Integration problem of this area is less concerned. Agriculture is always about the basic living of people, in fact the agricultural problem of this area is one of the most important problems in the process of East Asian Economy Integration. Also, we should clear the area trading relationship and the area effect to the Chinese agricultural products under the trend of "East Asian Economy Integration", the steps we should take and so on. From this point, the article using concerned theory and method is to do the demonstration research about the agriculture products, the competition and complementarities of agricultural products of China and other East Asian countries, and the East Asian area influence to the flow of agricultural products of China, the import of agricultural products of China inner the East Asian and effects and so on. Then some political suggestion to promote the agriculture products trading between China and other East Asian countries and some problems are given. This is full of important realistic meaning to enlarge the trading scale to China inner the East Asian, fufill trading complementarities of every country, making benefit to every country and so on.This article mainly consists of four parts. The first part is primarily to introduce the basic situation of East Asian area's agriculture product and agricultural trade development. The passage makes use of the data from agriculture Statistic year book to analyze East Asian area inner countries agriculture development situation and agricultural products situation in recent years.The second part is primarily to analyze the relationship between the agriculture products trade of China and other East Asian countries—competitiveness, competition and complementarities of the agriculture products. RCA index is used to measure the advantage of agriculture products of every country inner the East Asian. The result shows: the total agriculture products of China hasn't had obvious relatively competitiveness advantage, but the labor-intensity products have a certain of relatively competitiveness advantage;Japan and Korea are typical agriculture-importing countries, basically all kinds of agriculture products have no relatively competitiveness advantage. Southeast Asian countries show different relatively competitiveness advantage on different kinds of agriculture products, but totally speaking, glebe-intensity products have a certain of relatively competitiveness advantage. Besides ITT index is aslo applied to calculate the extent of competition and complementarities between China and other East Asian countries' agriculture products. The result shows: the agriculture products trades between China-Japan and China-Korea are nearly intra-industry, this means the bilateral trading structures between China-Japan andChina-Korea take up strong complementarities, and this trend strengthens a little, as to the analysis of competition and complementarities between China and Southeast Asian countries' agriculture products, although some kinds of agriculture products between China and Southeast Asian countries are intra-industry, to the staple agriculture products, intra-industry still takes up the essential place, this situation also shows the bilateral trading structure between China and Southeast Asian countries takes up strong complementarities.The third part is according to demonstration analysis to do the research on the East Asian area-cooperation influence to the flow of agricultural products from China to the other areas inner the East Asian, and on the potential of agriculture products import of China's in the inner East Asian area. The first part is mainly use the Trade Gravity Model to analyze the East Asian area-cooperation influence to the flow of agricultural products from China to the other areas inner the East Asian. The result shows: the East Asian area-cooperation influence makes the agricultural products cooperation between China and other East Asian countries strengthen a lot, and area-cooperation influence makes the trend of the flow of agricultural products from China to the other areas inner the East Asian strengthen continuously. The second part is to use the simple trade import model to forecast the potential of agriculture products import of China's in the inner East Asian area. The result shows: the GDP growth of Japan and the devaluation of Chinese RMB can obviously promote the import from China to Japan, the price of Chinese agriculture products and Japan's entrance of WTO just make a small effect to the import from China to Japan;the GDP growth of Korea and the price of Chinese agriculture products can obviously promote the import from China to Korea, the devaluation of Chinese RMB just make a small effect to the import;and the main influencing factors of agriculture products imported from China to Southeast Asian countries are GDP of Southeast Asian countries and the price of Chinese agriculture products.The last part of the passage is conclusion and suggestion. Acording to the result, the author gives some political suggestion and some problems we should pay attention to. Such as both sides should use the complementarities to enhance the trading relation, making benefit for each other;China and Japan, Korea should promote trading cooperation, avoiding trading conflict;China should develop international agriculture cooperation with Southeast Asian.