Dynamic And Prediction On Ecological Footprint Of Chongqing

Ecological footprint theory is used for calculation of resource utilization certain areas quantitatively measure, through a country or region's human activity and the harmony of nature endowments, and then evaluate the state of regional sustainable development.This research object is young municipalities - chongqing, since reform and opening up, especially after crown ,Its economic development has made remarkable achievement. However,Chongqing have both at the big cities and large rural characteristics, and as an "urban and rural"pilot citie is implementing the grand strategy called "farmers to the city ". Therefore, its development is sustainable and the country of the region will have significant impact, an urgent need for this in-depth investigation and analysis.So,the paper draws ecological footprint theory and Methods to calculate the time in 25 years in Chongqing dynamic changes of ecological footprint, comparative analysis of the Chongqing Municipality after the change of the ecological footprint, and systematic analysis of the Ecological Footprint of Chongqing's economic development coupled with the relationship; At the same time,in response to the national urban and rural policy, The paper analyzed the ecological footprint associated with the population structure and combined the situation of chongqing to establish a model to predict the city's ecological changes after the "farmers to the city" .The results show that from 1985 to 2009, overall ecological footprint of Chongqing was a rising trend year by year. and the25 years has been in a state of ecological deficit, Ecological deficit next year was to expand the trend will continue.For compared the construction of ecological civilization with other cities. This paper selected ecological civilization of high, medium, low levels of 17 cities for horizontal comparison. The results show that Chongqing in 17 cities in the middle of a low level, and compared with Beijing, Tianjin, Shanghai, the three municipalities, the highest footprint million GDP, and GDP unit of land is the lowest output value, This also shows that the Chongqing compared with the developed city its resource utilization level is very low.In addition, the paper according to the results, analyzed the reasons causing ecological deficit in Chongqing, and put forward corresponding the "deficit drop"measures, such as optimize the industrial structure, improve resource utilization, changes in consumption structure, changes in population structure and reasonable mitigation measures to improve the area's ecological carrying capacity and so on, It can improve the area's ecological carrying capacity.