The Research On The Forestry Strategic Industry Of Choice And Cultivation In Suqian

Suqian city forestry industry one-twelveth land area of Jiangsu Province, providingone-eighth of forest resources in Jiangsu province to produce timber stock volume one-sixth inJiangsu Province, forestry industry output value reached more than268billion yuan in2010,more than20per cent of gross output value of Suqian City economic, created a forestryindustry "Suqian mode." Study on industrial structure and its changes, not only to reveal itsregularities in the development process, strategic industry of choice and cultivation of forestry,but also through forestry strategic industry selection, a targeted industry, innovation of newindustrial development model, breakthrough in China's current economic restructuring andindustrial transformation and upgrading of "bottlenecks" and achieve sustainable developmentof the national economy.This article to strategy management and industry select for led theory, with grey economictheory model and factor analysis model, in on strategy industry connotation and the evaluationsystem connotation of accurate grasp zhixia, through qualitative and quantitative analysis ofmethod, on Suqian forestry industry structure for empirical analysis, select out Suqian forestrystrategic development industry, and in national macroeconomic background Xia, madecultivation Suqian forestry strategy industry of recommendations and policy.The first section of this article in the review on strategic choice theory and industry athome and abroad on the basis of clearly set out the essential connotation of strategic industryand pillar industry in strategic industries and leading industry, defines the concept and thedistinction, combined with the characteristics of forestry industrial structure in three categoriesproposed a strategic industry evaluation system and selection of the basic principles andselection criteria;The second section of this article according to the forestry strategy evaluation system forindustrial, after analysis of system parameters, select the study on evaluation model of thisarticle, and the construction of the forestry strategy based on industry analysis of grey relationanalysis model, grey prediction models and factor analysis model.The third part of the Suqian forestry industry empirical research, according to the Suqianforestry industry structure change and development, awareness of Suqian forestry the firstindustry, second industry, the tertiary industry structure change and development in Suqianforestry industry analysis, correlation analysis, grey prediction model for future5years inSuqian the three major forestry industry forecast, in order to reach Suqian forestry future trend, and then using the factor analysis method, to calculate the Suqian forestry the first industry,second industry rankings, the Suqian forestry strategic industry should be in the second industrychoice judgment; then, based on the second industrial structure change analysis, correlationanalysis and grey prediction model calculation, should be put in the second industry of furnituremanufacturing as a strategic industry of Suqian forestry development the conclusion; at thesame time with the national macroeconomic background, put forward Suqian forestry strategyindustry countermeasures and suggestions.This innovation is the combination of theoretical model of grey theory and factor analysismodel, of the County economy in one quantitative dynamic analysis on industrial structure,presented its strategic industry selection based on the industrial development process; on thestructure of forestry organized by three main categories for analysis, and proposedcountermeasures and suggestions on development strategy of forestry industry.