Study On Present Condition And Future Development Of Domestic Coal Shipping Market

Coal resource is the main guarantee energy of the development of our national economy, and its relationship between supply and demand, price trend are the main factors of national coal shipping market' development. Therefore, studying the relationship between supply and demand and the price trend is crucial for owners and investors of coal shipping market to grasp the dynamic of coal shipping market and make the right decisions. This paper analyzed the current situation of China's domestic coal shipping market from the qualitative point of view and used the quantitative method to study the development trend of China's domestic coal shipping market. This thesis was structured as follows:Firstly, it started with a brief analysis of coal shipping market system and then basically analyzed its overview, supply, demand, and capacity state. Then it qualitatively investigated the development of coal shipping market, and its main factors influencing the volatility of the market.Secondly, it reviewed the development of China's domestic coal shipping market from four aspects in detail. After analyzing the production, consumption and transportation of China's coal market, this paper studied the relationship between supply and demand, shipping capacity and transport price. Besides, it generalized the primary features and main problems of our domestic coal shipping market.Thirdly, it studied the future development of our domestic coal shipping market from qualitative and quantitative point of view. First of all, it introduced the grey forecasting model that suits to predict the demand of our domestic coal shipping market, and analyzed the fittingness of the grey forecasting model. Then, it applied the grey forecasting model to predict the demand of our domestic coal shipping market and the shipping capacity. At last, the price trend of our domestic coal shipping market was studied qualitatively.Finally, it proposed countermeasures to solve the problems existing in China's coal shipping. And then the general conclusions of the thesis were presented. Limitations and development direction of this paper were pointed out.