The Fluctuation Analysis Of Pig Production In Liaoning Province

Influenced by diet, for a long time, the consumption of pork the meat product in our country, the proportion of consumption is always in the first position, as living standard rise, pork is becoming more and more important, there will be more and more concern on the pork price. Recently,affected by different factors, the live pig production fluctuation increased gradually, in piglets, pigs and pork hog prices rose and fell like a roller coaster, tremondous price fluctuation not only affect people's consumption, but also affect the healthy development of pig industry. In the whole link of mdustry pig from production,the current to consumption,raisers whom always in a passive position is undoubtedly the weakest link,they have no reliable imformation source, nor changes the market price,In products selling,they have no one to cownt on.Especially the even when the price is too low, they still have to bear the huge losses all alone,and that brought many unfavorable factors in future production. Therefore, to find the rule of pig production fluctuation, to predict the future development direction of production by the regularity of development direction, so as to regulate and control the whole market inadvance, reduce the loss of raisers, increase economic efficiency, promote the steady and healthy development of the industry.This article starts wirh data such as nearly 17 years of pig product price and nearly 30 years of live pig product output and data analysis, through the analysis of the changes of the price and output growth situation, to understand our country live pig production for many years the existence rule changes, through to the Liaoning province production situation analysis results and the results compared to that change, Liaoning province and the production of variations of the same points and different points, and then to put forward according to the analysis results accord with the actual situation of Liaoning Province Industrial Development Suggestions and opinions.Research shows that:(1) Liaoning province live pig production variation and the national live pig production change are basically the same, maintaining the overall increased gradually. (2) Liaoning province live pig production and countrywide hog production cycle fluctuations there are different, that the production cycle of Liaoning province are stronger, cycle fluctuation features more distinct. (3) Liaoning province live pig price changes are usually about a month early, and the pig prices decline across time are longer than national, generally lower than the national average, showing that Liaoning province is the country's major pig producing provinces. (4) As a result of Liaoning province and the national cycle are different, therefore in policy formulation should suit one's measures to local conditions, in the country policy conditions, the appropriate choice in favor of local policies should be enlargd, on the local adverse policy should consider whether to implement.