Font Size: a A A

The Relationshipbetweeneconomicgrowth And Environmentai Pollution,Zhejiang Province

Posted on:2013-01-18Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:S FuFull Text:PDF
GTID:2219330371968201Subject:Industrial Economics
Abstract/Summary:PDF Full Text Request
Income Kuznets Curve refers to a country's economy in the early stage of development, all sectors of society between the income distribution gap along with the economic growth and expansion; and when the economy develops to a certain level, and gradually narrowing the income difference. Described with graphics like inverted letter U, it was known as the Kuznets income allocates" pour U curve. With the reflection of income gap and economic growth in the Kuznets curve is similar to the environment, Kuznets curve (Environmental Kuznets Curve, EKC) refers to a country or a region's environmental quality along with the economic growth worsen first then improved, i.e. at the early stage of economic development stage, the environmental quality along with the economic growth shows exasperate trend, when the economy development to a higher stage, environmental quality will be as economic growth shows improving trend, in the graphic display for the inverted "U" shape. Many foreign scholars of developed countries and emerging economies, the experience and data validation environment Kuznets curve exists, the turning point in GDP4000of average per capita-$8000.Since reforming and opening, Zhejiang province economy presents the state of rapid growth, but at the same time, the pollution of the environment also is in ceaseless aggravate, has international experience in the shape of an inverted U environment of the Kuznets curve can make nothing of it. Under this background, this paper takes Zhejiang Province as an example, based on the1981-2009wastewater (industrial wastewater, domestic wastewater, exhaust gas (sulfur dioxide), industrial dust and soot) and solid waste annual discharge of "three wastes" data, through the standardization of the method for calculating the reflection of Zhejiang Province the overall pollution level of comprehensive pollution index, and in on the data unit root test, stability test and causality test based on strict inspection, created by environmental pollution and output and contains growth scale effect, structure effect, the change of industrial structure of technical progress and technical effect of government environmental policy to eliminate the effect of several control variables of the model of simultaneous equations, inspection Zhejiang Province Environmental Kuznets curve is consistent with the international experience of inverted U shape, of Zhejiang province economy growth and environment pollution the two-way relationship between the factor decomposition method, and quantitative study of effect of environmental Kuznets curve of Zhejiang province economic growth, the scale effect of changes in the industrial structure effect, progress of science and technology effect and policy of governmental environmental protection elimination of effect.The main conclusion is:Zhejiang province economy growth and environment pollution in environment between Kuznets curve showed "N" shape, with the economic growth of Zhejiang province and GDP of average per capita increases, Zhejiang province environmental pollution increase first and then individual years short weak decline, and then rise, is not the international experience in the first the rise and decline of the inverted U shape, and no environmental pollution falling inflection point, we speculate that this is because Zhejiang province since the reform and opening up economic growth and industrialization process reflects the differs from the developed country economy grows, make Zhejiang province did not appear in the shape of an inverted U environment of the Kuznets curve. Regression analysis and factor decomposition method the results show that, Zhejiang province environmental pollution caused by rising is the main cause of the rapid economic growth of Zhejiang province the scale effect of changes in the industrial structure and the structure effect (proportion of industry in GDP and industrial interior heavy industry proportion rises), and technical progress of technology and the effect of government environmental policy to eliminate the effect of play to improve environmental quality of Zhejiang province's role. But since the reform and opening up the economic growth of Zhejiang province much faster than developed countries during the same period of economic growth rate, of industrialized process accelerate, the proportion of heavy industry promotes ceaselessly, make the economic growth effect of scale and the change of industrial structure the structure effect on the pollution impact and greater than technological progress technological effect and environmental policy to eliminate the effect of pollution improvement effects and current Zhejiang Province, makes the overall pollution still shows ascendant trend, no pollution falling inflection point, this is also in Zhejiang Province Environmental Kuznets curve does not appear in the international experience of inverted U shape the inflection point of the reason. Accordingly, accelerate the upgrading of the industrial structure, advance new-style industrialization, also play a greater technical progress technology effect and environmental protection policy to eliminate the effect, it is to realize Zhejiang Province Environmental Kuznets turning point, improve the quality of the environment is necessary condition.The conclusions of this study also found that, the environmental pollution on the economic growth of Zhejiang province plays a negative effect, namely, the aggravation of environmental pollution will eventually hinder the further growth of the economy in Zhejiang Province, the western country "pollute first, administer after" road is not suitable for Zhejiang province the truth, Zhejiang province can only take the harmonious development of environment and economy of new-style industrialization road, economic development and improve the quality of the environment.
Keywords/Search Tags:Environmental Kuznets Curve, economic growth, factordecomposition method, scale effect, structure effect, technology effect, removingeffect
PDF Full Text Request
Related items