Study Of Early-warning System Based On Ahp For Dairy Quality Security

Dairy, as nutritional food, had attracted a lot of people’s attentions, which brings pleasure to people, meanwhile, dairy security had also become an essential issue of the vital interests of the people. Recently, due to frequent dairy security crisis, not only had people’s life serious threats but also our dairy industry a very bad impact on reputation. Further more, it highlighted our dairy security system imperfection. Only when dairy security was guaranteed, by building a viable dairy safety early-warning system and warning dairy security potential crisis, could we have a safe state with minimum loss. Thus, not only our dairy industry reputation was recovered, but also consumer confidence improved.What’s more, people’s lives and health were reliably protected. It followed that building a dairy safety early-warning system was necessary for us to build a harmonious socialist society. Therefore, in our country, the dairy quality security early-warning research had the significant practical value.This paper first understudied the current situation of dairy security system and dairy security early-warning on basis of a large number of documents. Then, the paper researched prediction method based on time series, artificial neural network and analytic hierarchy process (AHP). From theory, modeling steps and the field of application, it carried out a detailed analysis. Combining the current dairy security conditions and actual needs, building index system of dairy security early-warning was to complete dairy quality security early-warning model by AHP. The paper also took Heilongjiang province dairy data in the year of2008for example, to verify the practicability and reliability of the model. At last, focusing on characteristics of early-warning system, we using c#and SQL server2000realized the Early-Warning System for dairy quality security in.net platform. So, we could alarm the future situation of dairy quality security.Combining AHP and early-warning system, we dealt with monitoring data from production process, Machining Process, circulation process and consumption process using dairy information. It might occur on dairy security crisis early warning. This research for dairy both monitoring and warning from field to table provided some reference value. And also, it was good for high utilization and management dairy information.