| In this paper,we use Tongyu Country of Jilin Province as the object ofstudy.Through qualitative analysis and quantitative analysis on the countryeconomy of Tongyu Country,and then we use system dynamics model to dosimulation on the three pillar industries of Tongyu Country——wind powerindustry, ecological agriculture and tourism. Combined with the economic datawe verify the effectiveness of the builded system dynamics models and do thesensitivity analysis of relevant variables in the model. Finally, combined withthe analysis results,we make the development planning program of the threepillar industries of Tongyu Country and the integrated development planningprograms, provide decision support and policy guidance for the developmentof country economy in Tongyu Country. The first chapter of this paper wethrough the collection and reading of relevant literature to establish thebackground and significance of the topics, thinking and deciding the researchmethods.The second chapter of this paper we make analysis of the currentstate of the country economic development of Tongyu Country of JilinProvince.We have a certain understanding of Tongyu Country’s developmentmodel, the dominant factors and the disadvantage factors. Combined with fieldtrips, we select the pillar industries of the country economy of Tongyu Countryand related data were collected.The third chapter choice system dynamics as Tongyu country economic simulation analysis method and establish thesystem dynamics model.With system dynamics simulation of the three pillarindustries of Tongyu Country and combined with the model validation andsensitivity analysis, we laid the foundation for the enactment of the Tongyucountry economic development planning program. The fourth chapter use thesystem dynamics simulation results to make the strategic positioning andstrategy analysis, and the make the three pillar industries of Tongyu Countrydevelopment planning program and comprehensive planning program. |
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