Analysis And Forecast Of Factors Influencing Hangzhou Office Buliding Demand

Office market is a critical branch of real-estate market and an indicator of cityreal-estate and economy state. Hangzhou’s office market had experienced rapiddevelopment and had started to became mature. With of the unprecedenteddevelopment of Macroeconomic situation，the growing intense competition stimulatesthe unstandardized discipline of office buliding operation. Both the state and a singlereal estate development enterprises, It is crucial for office market to keep stability.Therefore it is necessary to come across the research up to this market’s demand.This thesis has systematically expatiated basic office and office market theoriesand detail introduction and analysis of Hangzhou office market, as well as analyzedthe actuality. The thesis analyze the factors that influence the demand of officebuilding for the the macroeconomic variables, and establishes weight of earch factorby Grey Relational Analysis and Spss Analysis. Both of the models use GDP, foreigninvestment, the tertiary industry, the balance of loans from financial institutions andother seven variables as independent variable, and use the demand of office buildingas dependent variable. Based on full and accurate data, the author has analyzed andforecasted the demand of Hangzhou office building market space for2010-2012yearby multiple linear regression model and ARMA model, described the developmentprospect of Hangzhou office buliding space. Finally the thesis put forwarddevelopment target, development strategy and practical measures for Hangzhou officemarket.