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Research On The Market Tendency Of Domestic Container Trade

Posted on:2013-12-12Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:Y YangFull Text:PDF
GTID:2249330371972636Subject:Transportation planning and management
Abstract/Summary:PDF Full Text Request
Along with the rapid and sustainable development of the national economy in recent years, the domestic container shipping industry has achieved great progress, and both the input capacity of ships and the throughput quantity of cargos achieved high-speed growth. Especially since 2008, although the shipping industry as a whole experienced concussion which was affected by the financial crisis, which does not affect the forward step of the domestic container transport, and just offered it a good opportunity for its development. Based on the background and causes, hereby developed the domestic container transportation market research of China, and hope which is helpful for guiding the domestic container transport firmly to grasp the opportunities, achieve better and faster development.Firstly, it has analyzed the demand of China’s domestic container transportation from the aspects of cargo’s structure, characteristics, scale and directions, and has analyzed the supply from the aspects of port condition, power of fleet, operators of carriage and shipping lines. Based on the analysis above, it has studied the price of the market. Secondly, it elaborated the development course, the developing environment of domestic container transportation from the aspects about policy, economy, social and technical. Based on the analysis of developing environment, it has studied the developing trend of demand, supply and price of domestic container transportation by theoretical, and initially has considered that the supply and demand will maintain balance generally, the price will fluctuate stably with rising slightly sometimes about domestic container transport market in the future. Then, it scientifically forecasted the domestic container throughput on the next period of time through the combination of regression forecasting methods and grey forecasting methods. The result has shown that, in the next few years, the domestic container throughput will continue to maintain the trend of steady, rapid and good growth. Finally, combining with the analysis and the prediction, it has put forward some countermeasures to promote the development of the domestic container transportation market.
Keywords/Search Tags:Domestic Container Transportation, Regression Forecasting, GreyForecasting
PDF Full Text Request
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