Research On Prediction Methods Of Distribution Travel Time For Real-time Logistics

RTL means that it employs the latest information technology and modernlogistics technology to actively eliminate the postponement in logistics managementand execution，to improve the response ability the competitiveness of the wholelogistics system，and to elevate its service level. Real-time logistics strategies canhelp to enhance the competitiveness of enterprises. Distribution system is animportant part of the logistics system, In the process of implementing real-timelogistics strategy distribution system play an important role.First of all the paper analyzes the concept of real-time logistics, theadvantages of real-time logistics strategy and the differences of real-time logisticsstrategy compared with other logistics strategy, and believe that real-time logisticsstrategy is the inevitable choice for contemporary enterprise development. Then thisarticle regards the company A from Jilin province as the object of study. Afteranalyzing of the distribution process, the necessity for vehicle travel time predictionis obvious. Through data collecting for a certain line, Based on exponentialsmoothing, the article sets up a logistics vehicle travel time prediction model, andproves that the forecasting method is effective by an example. Finally, this papersummarizes the main conclusions of the article and puts forward some suggestions.