The Empirical Study On Relationship Between Carbon Emissions And Economic Growth In China

At present, the development of low carbon economy has become the world theright choice. In China is second only to the United States as the world’s second largesteconomy, rapid economic development and at the same time, our country has becomethe world’s largest emitter of carbon dioxide superpower. In this context, in how todevelop a low carbon economy on the path of the carbon emissions and economicgrowth and what kind of relationship between, is a worthy of discussion.First of all, the paper summarizes the domestic and foreign relevant researchsystem of literature, and find out the direction; Then use common internationalcalculation carbon emissions IPCC method and calculated the provinces and regionsin China,1997-2010, burning fossil energy and cement production produces in theprocess of carbon emissions, make the data more can reflect our country everyprovince real carbon emissions; On the basis of regional economic growth and thedifferences of carbon dioxide emissions are analyzed; Then according to theenvironment’s library where he curve theory, choose the dynamic panel data modeland per capita carbon emissions and per capita GDP, industrial structure, theproportion of export trade and energy consumption structure, the relation between theChina and verify the eastern, central and western regions per capita carbon emissionsenvironment library where he’s curve of existence; Further, the per capita carbonemissions of inflection point time path was analyzed, and finally the starting from thereality of our country, and gives the low carbon economy development of thecorresponding policy.Through to the regional economic growth and the analysis of the differences ofcarbon dioxide emissions can get, China’s eastern, central and western region’s GDPand two oxygen carbon emissions to the amount of per capita quantity and present athree similar "club" characteristics, which in China and eastern, central and westernregions of the three big economic ladder status has the very big relations. The easternregion economic development level is high, the second industry structure layparticular stress on, the energy consumption of big, especially the coal consumption,which leads to the carbon emissions and per capita carbon emissions was significantlyhigher than the central and western regions, is emissions of carbon dioxide first "club"; The central region of the strategy of rising in central China, fuelled by the rapidgrowth of fixed investment, energy consumption increase constantly, and emissionsof carbon dioxide is the second "club"; Relative to the economic development in thewestern region of east and central regions is concerned, there is a wide gap between,though the central from1999carrying out the strategy for western development, butthe area’s economic foundation is weak, the total amount per capita and from it is stillin a relatively low stage. But for carbon emissions intensity is concerned, althoughalso presents the "club" characteristics, but with carbon emissions, and the per capitaamount of features on the contrary, the western region carbon emissions intensity thehighest, and the second is the central region, the eastern minimum.In the eastern and central and west regions, carbon emissions influence factors ofempirical study, return to get our country and its eastern and central regions, percapita GDP per capita and the carbon fall "U" relationship, the western regions, percapita GDP per capita and carbon emissions "U" relationship. Control variables oncarbon emissions per capita are a positive influence effect. By the national, easternand central regions, but "U" type per capita carbon emissions environmental kuznetscurve, can deduce that per capita carbon emissions of different inflection point.Overall, basically in the2025s, the national, eastern and central regions can achieve acarbon emissions per capita inflection point, to realize the economic growth and thecarbon "win-win". And the western regions "U" type per capita carbon emissionsenvironmental kuznets curve, that is, into the per capita GDP per capita carbonemissions and were in the growth stage. Carbon emissions can reduce the strength ofits per capita carbon emissions inflexion point to change. Through the readjustment ofindustrial structure, the energy consumption structure and export trade structure andimprove the technical level of carbon dioxide emissions, and to reduce carbonemissions intensity and improve carbon productivity, realize the regional economicdevelopment in our country and the carbon "win-win".