Research On The Relationship Between Shenzhen Non-Domicile Population Change And Industrial Restructuring

As a special economic zone, Shenzhen’s economical development has gained a high speed growth with its special geographical position since the "reform and opening" Millions of immigrant population flock into Shenzhen city every year during its urbanization. This cause rapid size expansion of Shenzhen non-domicile population and ratio inversion between household population and non-domicile population. Finally it bring current Shenzhen’s special population structure. Large non-domicile population flowing bring important different impact to local industrial structure and social economy. Meanwhile, adjustment and upgrade of industrial structure also promote employment for non-domicile population and bring population structure’s improvement and optimization.Relationship study between Shenzhen non-domicile population change and industrial restructuring is a common issue that most large and medium cities in the whole country need face. It has great practical significance and gain extensive attention in government and academy. The previous literature mainly focus on separate research for non-domicile population change or industrial restructuring, or research unidirectional effect for one part to another part. We lack of system research for both parts relationship, specially less empirical analysis. So this new study is base on verification long-term co-integration relationship&causal relationship between both parts and will analysis the effect of mutual change between both parts from mutual change this new perspective. And this is the study object of my dissertation. There are total five chapters:The first part is introduction. It includes significance and background of the research, domestic and foreign literature review and present situation, the idea,method and technical route of the research and characteristics and innovative points in this paper.The second part is theoretical basis for relationship analysis between non-domicile population and industrial structure. It defines non-domicile population and industrial structure. Then it introduced some theoretical and models concerning population migration and industrial structure, for the basis of this research.The third part is logic analysis on the mutual relationship between non-domicile population and industrial structure. Firstly, analysis the evolution of non-domicile population’s scale, the average educated and the character of industrial structure. Then,logic analysis the mutual affection between the change of non-domicile population and the adjustment of industrial structure in perspective of economic theory.The fourth part is empirical analysis of mutual relationship between the change of non-domicile population and the adjustment of industrial structure. It is the main body of the whole text. Firstly, do cointegration analysis and causality test by use the non-domicile population scale and average educated data with three industries structure, in order to prove two subjects have cointegrated or causative relationship. Secondly, based on cointegration relation, from the perspective of employment structure, use the methods of the employment elasticity and comparative labor productivity to empirical analysis which three industries restructuring, the affect of non-domicile population’s change. Finally, use the regression model to study on the non-domicile population’s scale and average educated with three industries, empirical analysis for the impact which non-domicile population change bring to three industries.The fifth part is paper’s conclusions and policy recommendations. Based on the result of empirical analysis, make the main conclusions, and with Shenzhen’s realistic, give some policy recommendations separating from two aspects of the non-domicile population and industrial structure.