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A Comparative Study On The Influencing Factors Of Energy Carbon Emissions In Northwestern China

Posted on:2015-02-09Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:Y GuoFull Text:PDF
GTID:2251330431451080Subject:Human Geography
Abstract/Summary:PDF Full Text Request
The Northwest of China is in the middle of industrial development. According to international experience, resource and energy consumption accelerated growth in this period, shortage of resources, environmental pollution and ecological destruction become a bottleneck restricting of economic development. As underdeveloped areas, Northwest currently not only faced ecological bottleneck, but also fully completed and shoulder responsibility well-off society. How to avoid the mistakes "pollute first, treat later" that developed countries had gone, and achieve economic development and social progress, Low-carbon development become an inevitable choice as a new mode of economic development and energy consumption. In this paper, the five provinces (regions)(including Shaanxi, Gansu, Ningxia, Qinghai, Xinjiang) energy carbon emissions, estimates of per capita carbon emissions, etc. in1990-2012years. Compare of dynamic change relations between carbon emissions and economic development through to application of decoupling model. Extend the model by STIRPAT, the introduction of the population, the level of economic development, energy intensity, energy structure, industrial structure, urbanization rate and other human factors, SPSS19.0software for data using ridge regression analysis, the main factors provinces carbon emissions and energy contribution rate.(District) energy carbon emissions factors analysis and comparison of the five northwestern provinces, providing targeted countermeasures and suggestions for the five northwestern provinces (regions) in the future low-carbon economy.The results showed that, Firstly, The study period, economy grown year after year in the five provinces (regions). The above analysis shows that one-year base period, Five in most years decoupling index greater than zero, that show the relative decoupling or hook state, indicating that there is a certain interaction between carbon emissions and economic growth. In the initial years as the base analysis showed that the relationship between energy, carbon emissions and economic growth in Gansu and Shaanxi in the distant, relations fluctuations energy carbon emissions and economic growth of a large in Qinghai, relations energy carbon emissions and economic growth close in Ningxia, energy carbon emissions relations have deepened and economic growth trends in Xinjiang. Secondly, significant factors in Shaanxi energy carbon emissions for the industry structure, population levels and economic development; significant factors in Gansu energy carbon emissions for the urbanization rate, the level of economic development and industrial structure; significant factors in Ningxia energy carbon emissions economy level of development, population and urbanization rate; significant factors in Qinghai energy carbon emissions population, level of economic development and urbanization rate; significant carbon emission factors for Xinjiang energy level of economic development, urbanization rate and population. Thirdly, the level of economic development is the main factor in common (zone) five provinces, indicating that economic growth in the Northwest region highly depended on energy consumption. Fourth, the five provinces did not have environmental Kuznets curve for carbon emissions.
Keywords/Search Tags:low carbon, influencing factors, decoupling index, STIRPAT model, inNorthwestern China
PDF Full Text Request
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