The Research About The Forecasting The Passenger Volume Of The Intercity Railway From Zhengzhou To Luo Yang

Along with the domestic and foreign passenger transportation special tailline and intercity railway construction unceasingly develop, the "four step" means will be applied on the work of forecasting the passenger flow more and moreo The idea,"four step" means of forecasting the passenger will be able to penetrate into in the general designer and the researcher.But, regarding the different city, the different external condition, we cannot adopt the identical theory. Therefore, we need to unify the project the actual characteristic, and carry on the forecast of the passenger flow.The passenger between Zhengzhou and Luoyang, not only contains resident’s journey demand along the route city, but also covers the airport and the traveling passenger. Because the project connects the airport and along the route there are too much tourist resources. Otherwise, because the project and the peripheral fast railway network formed the intercommunication, the railway has to undertake the long-distance passenger.Firstyly, this article introduces the domestic and foreign the technical mentality and the idea about using "four step" means on forecasting passenger flow.Next, introduces the main line trend of railway, the technical standard, the stations as well as the economical transportation survey and so on.Then, on the earlier period of preparation, we prepare the method and the technical route to answer the question which meets. In the particular forecast process, we carry on the idea of the conception and analyse the supposition condition, preparing for the next step on forecasting passenger low. Finally, linking the characteristic, forecast the passenger flow of the railway.This article, when we meet this particularity question in the forecasting the passenger flow, set down the passenger flow forecasting technology route and the mentality suiting for the railroad characteristic. Through the research, the using of "four step" means which this article elaborated on forecasting passenger flow between Zhengzhou and Luoyang conforms to the project characteristic. At the same time, this can be used for others as the reference.