A Study On Marginal Growth Structural Of Zhejiang Agriculture Trade

Marginal growth is a method to study the growth of trade and become a hot spot for domestic and foreign experts and scholars,it is basede on new new trade theory. This paper will analyze the last10years of agricultural products trade of Zhejiang province, understand the product structure and market structure, and decomposed the trade growth as extensive margin, quantity growth and price growth, and then summed up the structural characteristics of trade growth from the results. Put forward appropriate suggestion. In this article we use agriculture products trade data of Zhejiang province during the year2002-2011.comparative with other major agriculture provinces, use the statistical description method analysis the product structure and market structure, use the method of HK decomposed the trade growth as extensive margin, quantity growth and price growth, further more use the kernel density technology observe the contribution of quantity and price to the trade growth.The main conclusions as follow:Zhejiang always imported low-technology agriculture product from USA, Brazil and Argentina, exported high-technology agriculture product to Japan, USA and Korea. The import and export value of agriculture products have a larger growth during the year of2002-2011. Decomposed the value, the contribution of extensive margin is very small, even more the contribution is negative to export growth. Quantity growth and price growth have played important role in the import and export trade growth. The difference is that:in the import trade, the growth was mainly due to the quantity growth, the contribution of price growth id relatively small. In the export trade, the contribution of price growth is larger than quantity growth. Specific to the typical times, the results are also the same. And after the financial crisis, the contribution of quantity growth to import trade growth becomes more apparent, as the price growth to export trade growth.