Adjustment Of Industrial Structure Optimization Research On Beijing Carbon Emissions Constraints

According to the appraisal of IPCC in 2007, the global climate has been undergoing significant changes with extreme weathers, floods and snow disasters, which is mainly caused by the emission of greenhouse air. China has made commitment to the world to reducing carbon dioxide emissions per unit of GDP by as much 40%-50%. Energy conservation and emission reduction is not only our responsibility, it is also our sole choice to develop our economy in a sustainable way. As the capital, Beijing should be the model for other cities. This dissemination focuses on the relationship between the industrialstructures of Beijing, life department and the total volume of carbon emission as well as carbon-emission contribution in both relative and absolute manners. Whether the reductive goal, by the way of optimizing structures and adjusting, can be achieved by 2020 is also estimated in the dissemination.The carbon emission level from 1995-2012 has been calculated on the base of 1995 as well as types of energy resources used in Beijing, industrial structures, the IPCC converted coefficient and the gross value of production of Beijing in real term. The environmental effect appraisalexpandable stochastic modal has been deployed in the calculation of the relative contribution level of the overall industrial structure change after examining the relationship between the three industries and the total volume of carbon dioxide emissions.Then all industries have been separated in seven parts, i.e. the first industry, industry,construction, electricity and heat, logistics, and wholesale and retail. All industries relative contributions are also calculation by comparison to the life department and the carbon dioxide emission. Then the carbon dioxide emission level of the three industries, the seven parts and life department have been analyzed by logarithmic weighting. The results then are analyzed by the immediate expandable stochastic modal. Based on all statistics aforementioned, the intensity of carbon dioxide emission of Beijing will be presumed by ARIMA and whether it can reach the goal by 2020. Last but not least, this dissemination study the effect of industrial adjustment on conservation and emission reduction. It also provides suggestions on the internal upgrade, coordinated development between industries and utilization efficiency of the third industry.