A Study On The Interactive Relationship Between Immigration And Import And Export Trade Between Inner Mongolia And

Inner Mongolia and Mongolia has a long border, which have natural advantages to develop the bilateral trade and tourism because of common language and cultural similarities. Based on combing the literature, the theory and defining the conceptual model, this article choose Inner Mongolia and Mongolia’s tourism and trade as the research object, using statistical analysis, measurement methods to construct two analytical framework:In time series, we build sliding equations and cointegration. On spatial analysis, we conduct the development and spatial distribution of ports, and formulate development strategies, so that to delve into the essence of property and interactive rule. The main results as follows:(1) Development of tourism and trade showing with the rise and fall trend in general and significant correlations. From time series development, the interaction of tourism and trade can be divided into two stages:from 1998 to 2006 was the phase of trade promoting tourism, from 2006 to 2013 was trade grew fast and tourism grew slow, this is because travel preferences and capacity is limited. From the marginal elasticity effect, the previous stage of tourism to pull function imports is greater than the exports, the later stage of tourism to pull function exports is greater than the imports, which is due to the export trade growth rate in different periods had difference.(2) Determining the presence of cointegration and causality relationship. Mongolia inbound tourism is the Granger cause of imports and exports, this is due to Mongolia tourists always dominate the first place in Inner Mongolia inbound tourism flows, is the main tourist market of Inner Mongolia. With bilateral frequent cultural exchanges and personnel exchanges to promote the growth of inbound tourism flows in Inner Mongolia, the growth in inbound tourism ratio and trade dependency that prompting an increase in import and export trade volume. Outbound tourism is the Granger cause of imports and exports, This is because China has always been a major tourist market in Mongolia, since 2005 China has become Mongolia’s largest export trading partner, with bilateral trade volume began rising and in 2011, China became the largest source of imports in Mongolia, the development of bilateral tourism and trade continued to show growth.(3) From the perspective of space, Inner Mongolia open ports on cargo and passenger traffic showed a growth year after year, the ports overall operation stability, development in good condition. Erlianhot port as the connection port of tourism and trade, which traffic and freight development is much higher than others, showing a double high development. Ganqimaodu and Ceke ports present large freight and small traffic, showing a single high development. The rest of port are still in a low level of development, showing double low development. As can be seen, high traffic ports, freight is also large, and vice versa, that is a positive correlation between both passenger traffic and freight traffic.The paper may have the following innovations:(1) Choose statistics and data analysis of Inner Mongolia and Mongolia tourism and trade interaction premise condition and policy guarantee, has a guarding role to development of tourism and trade, providing empirical for both interaction analysis.(2) Breakthrough most selection, choose Inner Mongolia and Mongolia as research subjects to analysis their interactive between tourism and trade. And choose border ports as the key point, analyzed the spatial distribution of tourism and trade interaction, to make a deeply explore of the internal mechanism.