A Study On Lottery Paradox

The inductive reasoning is irreplaceable tool for human beings and its essentialcharacteristics are that the premise of reasoning does not imply the conclusion. Lotteryparadox is a famous thought experiment of modern probability inductive reasoningwhich reveals that the knowledge of the probability that people believe in is notcompletely consistent. The essence of probability inductive is using one or a set ofprobability value or probability space which rely on mathematical methods to quantifyinductive method so that it can be more reliable and accurate. For a long time, whetherin daily life or technology work, people have been using inductive reasoningconsciously or unconsciously and benefiting from this kind of reasoning a lot withoutgiving it enough consideration of its rationality. And lottery paradox is a challenge tothe reasonableness of this uncertainty reasoning.The characteristics of the lottery paradox researching are diversified. This articlefocuses on the collection of modern inductive logic theory, probability theory and otheraspects of the relevant information. First, it demonstrates that for the current stageinductive reasoning is irreplaceable for human beings, and then elaborates the practicalsignificance of the lottery paradox; And this article also card four kind of solution tolottery paradoxes which are about uncertainty reasoning, as well as the views of thethree basic questions which are trying to put the challenge to lottery paradox straightly.Since inductive reasoning is not only a form of human thinking, and is a widely usedscientific method and logical rules. So exploring and resolving the lottery paradoxtheoretically has important theoretical and practical significance in many areas ofscience and technology.