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Research On The Impact Of Industry Structure To Urbanization In China

Posted on:2016-12-24Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:L H LiuFull Text:PDF
GTID:2309330464956877Subject:Regional Economics
Abstract/Summary:PDF Full Text Request
Urbanization is associated with industrial development, non-agricultural industries in urban agglomerations, rural-to-urban migration process, it is an inevitable process of development of human society, it is a measure of an important indicator of a country’s socio-economic level and development.2013 our country’s urbanization rate has reached 53.7 percent, China is in the urbanization development of important strategic opportunities, promote urbanization to promote China’s economic growth and narrow the income gap between urban and rural and regional development gap is significant. Urbanization development needs many advance, which optimize the development of the industrial structure is the material basis of urban development. Urbanization development requires support of industrial development, otherwise it will lead to only urbanization ghost town of no economic growth, and therefore, this article is based on research on the impact of urbanization in various industries, the use of time series analysis method, based on relevant data, analysis of the second, and the different effects of the tertiary industry internal transport, storage postal industry, real estate, financial services for urbanization and tertiary industries.Based on previous studies, first of all, the data were examined using the latest development status of China’s urbanization and industrial structure, there is a problem. Secondly, the use of time series analysis method using co-integration test, measurement analysis VAR model, impulse response and variance decomposition of different variables on the impact of urbanization on quantitative analysis. By studying the main draw the following conclusions.(1) secondary industry increased by 1 percentage point, urbanization, an increase of about 0.9199 percent, the third increase one percentage point, the urbanization rate 1.2968 percentage point increase, the role of the tertiary industry to promote urbanization to be higher than the second industry. Judging from the results of the impulse response, industrialization in the two subsequent promotion of urbanization is obvious, and the impact of growth significantly. Urbanization changes in the tertiary sector soon evident during both the positive response in the first 11 to achieve maximum impact, then stabilized. Therefore, we can say that the short-term industrialization and urbanization is the most important role in promoting the development of tertiary industry is its long-term sustainability of the momentum.(2) The third major sectors within the industry suggest that the three industries, the real estate industry to promote the role of urbanization in the most obvious manifestation 1 percentage point increase for the real estate industry, urbanization rate increased 0.2490 percent; followed by transportation transport, storage and postal services, a percentage point increase in the industry, urbanization rate increased 0.2114 percent; and finally the financial industry, a percentage point increase, urbanization rate increased 0.0755 percent. Judging from the results of the impulse response, transportation urbanization effects in four after the start of play, in the first 10 reaches the maximum, after waning influence; the real estate industry to promote the role of urbanization in the short term is not obvious, but four later with significant positive effect, and stable; the role of the financial sector to promote urbanization, and did not fully play, but the long term is to help the financial industry urbanization development.
Keywords/Search Tags:Urbanization, Industry Structure, Sub-sectors, VAR, model, Impulse Response
PDF Full Text Request
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