The Establishment Of The Real Estate Listed Company Financial Crisis Early Warning Model And Applied Research

With the China’s economy entering into the adjustment period, the pressure of China’s real economy downward is increasing due to the influence of the macro economy overall downward trend, and the enterprise production and management have more difficulties. Under the background of this kind of environment, financial security index of many industries has fallen sharply in China, among which the real estate industry is the most severe and volatile. The financial crisis of real estate listed company not only affects the survival and development of enterprise itself but also brings some damage for investors and creditors and so on. Therefore, it shows that the financial crisis warning of the real estate enterprises is urgent and necessary with increasing market competition. The real estate listed company needs to attach great importance to the company’s financial requirements.The purpose of this study is to construct the system model and scientific analysis method. The financial crisis of real estate enterprise is predicted accurately and comprehensively in order to help the real estate listed companies grasp crisis in the process of comprehensive operation. Then, the right strategic decisions are taken to nip in the bud. And the financial crisis can be controlled and predicted. Based on the domestic and foreign research related to financial crisis, combining with the characteristics of China’s real estate, the research about financial crisis early warning model of the real estate listed company is put forward considering the theory and method of financial crisis, early warning mode and the influencing factors of financial crisis.Firstly, research present situation of the theory on the financial crisis warning of real estate listed company is reviewed at home and abroad. And the relationship between financial crisis and the financial risk is analyzed. In this paper, the research contents and technical route are proposed.Secondly, through the comprehensive analysis on the commonly used method of company financial crisis early warning, a new train of thought establishing the real estate financial crisis early warning model is put forward based on support vector machine (SVM) theory. Then, support vector machine (SVM) and its correlation analysis theory are analyzed.Then, according to the establishment process of financial crisis warning model on the real estate listed company, the real estate listed company, index system of financial crisis early warning model and the establishment of nonlinear mapping relation are analyzed step by step. On this basis, the financial crisis early warning model of real estate listed company is put forward.Finally, on the basis of the established financial crisis early warning model on the real estate listed company, the research object is selected. According to the index system of early warning model, relevant data is collected. And the early warning model is applied. By analyzing the correlation between index and the financial crisis situation, the control measures are put forward.