The Potential Influence Of US Global Trade Strategies On China

Research on current international organizations on trade statistics methods more and more focused on value-added trade statistics methods, increase the value of trade statistics methods have become the main object of study of international academia. In this study, the global value chain analyzing the background, analyzing disadvantages of traditional methods of trade statistics at the international division of labor, trade and new statistical methods came into being. Having a clearance data based on traditional trade analysis was repeated calculations ignore the nature of the defect, and based on the value added of new trade trade data analysis to more accurately reflect the comparative advantages and trade-dependent trade between countries, so as to better laying the groundwork for doing further analysis.Meanwhile, the US and China as the world’s two largest economies, in their pursuit of economic growth in the vast space of the competition process will inevitably take place, as a conservative American country, the national interest, would select some short-term economic interests of the political accord decision making. In the world of foreign trade integration process, leading the United States to re-recognize the importance of maintaining global economic rules and far-reaching competition American comparative advantage. US strategic focus to the Asia-Pacific during the transfer also began construction of a free trade area with China leading trade rules and the exclusion of color, TPP and TTIP is one of the very far-reaching impact of regional trade agreements. Through the global value chain decomposition summed up the new trend of the era of global value chains, based on both input and output database world, further study of China and the Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement (TPP) and the Trans-Atlantic Trade and Investment Partnership Agreement (TTIP), on increase the value of its main export industries member 35 is measured, and then use the added value of export trade data.Based on the analysis to trade part of the general computable equilibrium model GTAP model to simulate the implementation of the strategy scenarios, the potential impact on China’s position in the global value chain and the US TPP, TTIP strategy (Economic Exclusion Strategy) China’s foreign trade economy Analyse. By the United States to advance its business strategy different from the expected results, this article will be divided into three scenarios, including the presence of only the TPP, TPP and TTIP exist, and the two free trade agreements do not exist in the control group. We find that the impact of the implementation of the US strategy of China’s overall trade is negative, but for different industries have different directions and influence the degree of influence, and different economies are also facing different trade diversion and trade creation effect. Finally, the results of the analysis, this paper further proposes policy recommendations.