Empirical Research On The Driving Factors Of Low Carbon Economy

A large number of carbon emission in the process of industrialization made the greenhouse effect increasing and also caused a series of serious problems such as global warming, for countries in the pursuit of rapid economic growth on a wake-up call. So how to effectively curb carbon emission while maintaining economic growth rapid growth has become a problem to be solved. Inner Mongolia, as a typical western region, the important implementation of the western development strategy, in the period of the rapid development of industrialization, realizing economic growth is still the biggest task. The stage of development and industrial base status objectively determine that the current carbon emission still belongs to the necessity. Large increase in its emissions is difficult to avoid.At the same time, with the growth of the population, urbanization process speeds up and people living standard rises, construction and life energy consumption will rise significantly, the overall carbon emissions will continue to show rising trend. According to the principle of tracing, finding the driving factors of carbon emission is the breakthrough point to solve the problem. Therefore, the low carbon economy development level and its influencing factors of research still have important significance.The thesis analyzes the energy consumption, economic growth in Inner Mongolia, as well as carbon dioxide emission. On the basis of above, carbon emission are calculated by classifying energy and industry.The basic condition of carbon emission about Inner Mongolia is carried on a detailed introduction. In the face of such a great carbon emissions which is also not easy to curb,we can find a solution at the root of the influence from the driving factors of carbon emission. The author comprehensively reads the driving factors of carbon emission about scholars both at home and abroad research, through analyzing and sorting to achieve maximum use of data. The driving factors of carbon emission about the Inner Mongolia region can be clasified from two angles to conduct a comprehensive and meticulous division. First is from the perspectives of population for driving factors of carbon emission. From STIRPAT analysis framework, the Angle of the driving factors of carbon emission contains population,level of economic development and technical factor, and it respectively its path and mechanism of the system. Second is from the perspective of energy consumption for driving factors of carbon emission. Applying extension of Kaya identities and logarithmic Divisia index decomposition method, driving factors of carbon emission can be decomposited. The factors which influence different driving factors respective are energy emission factor,energy structure factor, energy efficiency factor, economic output scale factor, factor of industrial structure, population scale factor. Then makes an empirical analysis of carbon emissions change of energy consumption about Inner Mongolia. It is concluded that and contribution and its values of each driving factor of carbon emission.Then, on the basis of Inner Mongolia in 2004-2013 carbon emission data, through the grey GM (1,1) prediction model, the Inner Mongolia region carbon emission has carried on the short-term forecast and has made the speculation, if it doesn't change the current policy of economic development in Inner Mongolia, such as population policy and energy policy, then carbon emission in the Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region will be in the trend of increasing year by year.By 2020, CO2 emission in Inner Mongolia to be predicted likely will reach 402.91 million ton. It is grim situation during the period of "much starker choices-and graver consequences-in planning" to reduce CO2 emission. The final predicted results aiming at how to reduce the carbon emission put forward specific policy and recommendations for the Inner Mongolia region.