Research On Carbon Emission Estimation And Influencing Factors Of Logistics Industry Of Zhejiang Province

With the development of economy,the logistics industry,as a complex industry in the tertiary industry is becoming more and more important,it inextricably links to the various sectors of the national economy,and its development plays an important part in a country or a region's economic.Especially in recent years,e-commerce,the rapid rise of the Internet in China,the further development of the national economy,people's material living standards continue to improve,the demand for social consumer goods more and more diversified,not only gave birth to a professional logistics model,Forced the traditional logistics enterprises to further improve efficiency,follow the new normal under the innovation,coordination,green,open,shared development concept,to promote transformation and upgrading.Zhejiang Province,the development of the logistics industry unique geographical advantages,foreign trade also has a traditional advantage,in recent years also known as e-commerce base,but to promote the transformation of the logistics industry,must change the current high consumption and high pollution development model,Energy consumption and carbon emissions,the logistics industry for the development of new vitality.This paper first introduces the research background of the paper and the current research situation at home and abroad,expounds the basic theory of carbon emissions in the logistics industry,introduces the carbon emission correlation calculation method,logarithmic mean exponential decomposition method and path analysis method.Secondly,the paper analyzes the relationship between carbon emissions and the Kuznets curve of per capita GDP in Zhejiang Province.Thirdly,according to the logarithmic mean exponential decomposition method,the contribution rate of energy intensity and energy structure to carbon emissions in logistics industry in Zhejiang Province is found.Energy intensity is the main reason for the continuous improvement of carbon intensity in logistics industry in Zhejiang Province.Then,through the path analysis,the paper analyzes the output value of logistics industry,investment in fixed assets,urbanization rate,trade dependence,total retail sales of social consumer goods,informatization Development index,the number of college students per million,the total fixed assets in the whole country,the output value of the total output value of the province's GDP,the proportion of nine factors on the total amount of carbon emissions,of which the output value of the total The decrease in the proportion of GDP and the decline in the state rate in the fixed assets of the whole society is mainly due to the reduction of carbon emissions.The development of the retail market of social consumer goods is the main factor in the increase of carbon emission factors;Finally,the logistics industry in Zhejiang Province to reduce carbon emissions put forward countermeasures and suggestions.